Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 02/09, 22:00

Prediction: Zamora vs Deportivo Tachira

Team pages: Zamora · Deportivo Tachira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Zamora0.97

Deportivo Tachira1.47

1X2

23% 29% 47%

Zamora Draw Deportivo Tachira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLLLWD

Deportivo Tachira 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Zamora 0–3–3 Deportivo Tachira (6 last)

Deportivo Tachira2-1Zamora
Zamora1-1Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira0-0Zamora
Deportivo Tachira1-1Zamora
Zamora0-2Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira1-0Zamora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora 1494 · Deportivo Tachira 1569

	Zamora	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
Our model	24%	29%	48%
Market	23%	30%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1494 vs 1569).
H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora	Deportivo Tachira
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.00

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +8’	3.90	3.00	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora 0–3–3 Deportivo Tachira

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	2-1 HT 1-1	Zamora
07/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Zamora	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Tachira
26/01/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	0-0 HT 0-0	Zamora
17/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	1-1 HT 0-0	Zamora
27/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Zamora	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Tachira
22/07/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	1-0 HT 0-0	Zamora

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	4	1	1	11	4	13
2	Deportivo Tachira	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
3	Metropolitanos FC	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	4	0	2	16	8	12
5	Portuguesa	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
6	Estudiantes Merida	6	3	2	1	7	7	11
7	Carabobo	6	2	2	2	4	3	8
8	Trujillanos	6	2	1	3	6	7	7
9	Zamora	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
10	UCV	6	2	0	4	7	9	6
11	Caracas	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
12	Monagas	6	1	1	4	6	10	4
13	Academia Anzoategui FC	6	1	1	4	4	11	4
14	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	6	1	0	5	6	13	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora	Deportivo Tachira
Carabobo	0-0 D	1-1 D
Estudiantes Merida	0-1 L	1-0 W
Caracas	1-1 D	0-0 D
Metropolitanos FC	0-0 D	1-3 L
Monagas	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora

WDDDWLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
22/08	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/08	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-4	1-6	2	4	L
09/08	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
06/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
02/08	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	9	1	W
25/04	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
20/04	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
12/04	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
04/04	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Deportivo Tachira

WDWDWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/08	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
16/08	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	3-2	13	7	W
09/08	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	3-1	2	2	W
05/08	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
31/05	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	13	8	W
24/05	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/05	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
13/05	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
10/05	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora vs Deportivo Tachira?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Tachira win (47%). Probabilities: Zamora 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira 47%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora vs Deportivo Tachira?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Zamora 0.97 · Deportivo Tachira 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora vs Deportivo Tachira?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.