Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 13/09, 20:00

Prediction: Uniao Frederiquense vs Brasil de Pelotas

Team pages: Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

Uniao Frederiquense1.17

Brasil de Pelotas0.63

1X2

48% 34% 19%

Uniao Frederiquense Draw Brasil de Pelotas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Uniao Frederiquense 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWWDW

Brasil de Pelotas 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWDDWL

Head-to-head

Uniao Frederiquense 0–1–1 Brasil de Pelotas (2 last)

Uniao Frederiquense1-1Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas4-1Uniao Frederiquense

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uniao Frederiquense	Brasil de Pelotas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	6.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.73

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.65 → 2.61▼	Pinn 2.61
X	2.55 → 2.60▲	Pinn 2.60
2	2.81 → 2.81	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:13 +7’	2.65	2.55	2.81
10:08 +18’	2.61▼	2.60▲	2.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Uniao Frederiquense 0–1–1 Brasil de Pelotas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Uniao Frederiquense	1-1 HT 1-1	Brasil de Pelotas
09/03/15 Brazil Primeira Liga	Brasil de Pelotas	4-1 HT 3-0	Uniao Frederiquense

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veranopolis	10	6	2	2	11	5	20
2	Passo Fundo RS	10	5	4	1	13	5	19
3	Uniao Frederiquense	10	5	3	2	10	5	18
4	CE Bento Goncalves	11	4	6	1	13	8	18
5	Santa Cruz RS	10	4	5	1	8	4	17
6	APAFUT	10	4	4	2	13	8	16
7	Aimore RS	10	4	3	3	9	9	15
8	Brasil de Farroupilha	9	3	5	1	10	7	14
9	Brasil de Pelotas	9	3	4	2	8	6	13
10	Sport Clube Gaucho	10	3	2	5	9	9	11
11	EC Pelotas	9	2	5	2	7	9	11
12	Guarani de Venancio Aires	10	2	4	4	9	14	10
13	GE Bage	10	2	4	4	8	13	10
14	Gramadense	11	1	4	6	7	16	7
15	GE Gloria	9	1	3	5	5	10	6
16	Lajeadense	10	0	2	8	3	15	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uniao Frederiquense	Brasil de Pelotas
Lajeadense	2-1 W	1-0 W
Veranopolis	1-0 W	0-1 L
Sport Clube Gaucho	1-0 W	1-1 D
Brasil de Farroupilha	1-1 D	2-2 D
CE Bento Goncalves	0-2 L	1-2 L
Passo Fundo	0-0 D	0-0 D
Gramadense	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Uniao Frederiquense (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uniao Frederiquense

WLWDLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
06/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	12	4	W
23/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	7	8	D
16/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
13/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
09/08	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/08	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
02/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-0	4	6	W

Brasil de Pelotas

DWDDLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
01/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-2	5	9	D
23/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	7	10	W
20/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
13/08	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uniao Frederiquense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uniao Frederiquense win (48%). Probabilities: Uniao Frederiquense 48%, draw 34%, Brasil de Pelotas 19%.

How many goals are expected in Uniao Frederiquense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model expects 1.8 goals (Uniao Frederiquense 1.17 · Brasil de Pelotas 0.63), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Uniao Frederiquense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.