Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 24/09, 00:00

Prediction: Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Gloria

Team pages: Brasil de Pelotas · GE Gloria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Brasil de Pelotas1.57

GE Gloria0.57

1X2

61% 25% 13%

Brasil de Pelotas Draw GE Gloria

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Brasil de Pelotas 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDWLDW

GE Gloria 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Brasil de Pelotas 0–1–1 GE Gloria (2 last)

GE Gloria1-0Brasil de Pelotas
GE Gloria1-1Brasil de Pelotas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brasil de Pelotas 1518 · GE Gloria 1480

	Brasil de Pelotas	Draw	GE Gloria
Our model	61%	27%	12%
Market	62%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brasil de Pelotas	GE Gloria
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.3	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.9 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.70

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +11’	1.44	3.70	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Pelotas 0–1–1 GE Gloria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/22 Copa do Brasil	GE Gloria	1-0 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
13/02/16 Brazil Primeira Liga	GE Gloria	1-1 HT 0-1	Brasil de Pelotas

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	13	7	5	1	19	8	26
2	Veranopolis	13	6	4	3	11	6	22
3	CE Bento Goncalves	13	5	6	2	15	10	21
4	Uniao Frederiquense	13	5	6	2	14	9	21
5	Santa Cruz RS	13	5	6	2	12	8	21
6	APAFUT	13	5	5	3	16	11	20
7	Aimore RS	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
8	Brasil de Farroupilha	12	4	7	1	11	7	19
9	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	13	3	6	4	14	18	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	13	3	3	7	10	13	12
12	GE Bage	13	2	6	5	9	16	12
13	GE Gloria	12	2	5	5	10	13	11
14	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
15	Gramadense	13	1	6	6	8	17	9
16	Lajeadense	13	1	2	10	5	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brasil de Pelotas	GE Gloria
Uniao Frederiquense	0-0 D	3-3 D
Veranopolis	0-1 L	0-2 L
Lajeadense	1-0 W	0-0 D
APAFUT	1-1 D	1-1 D
Brasil de Farroupilha	2-2 D	0-0 D
CE Bento Goncalves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brasil de Pelotas (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brasil de Pelotas

DDLWDDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
01/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-2	5	9	D
23/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	7	10	W
20/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
13/08	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

GE Gloria

LDDLWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
17/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
02/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/08	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
23/08	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
13/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Gloria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Pelotas win (61%). Probabilities: Brasil de Pelotas 61%, draw 25%, GE Gloria 13%.

How many goals are expected in Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Gloria?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Brasil de Pelotas 1.57 · GE Gloria 0.57), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Gloria?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.