Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 17/09, 00:30

Prediction: Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Aimore RS

Team pages: Guarani de Venancio Aires · Aimore RS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Guarani de Venancio Aires1.17

Aimore RS1.23

1X2

33% 31% 36%

Guarani de Venancio Aires Draw Aimore RS

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Guarani de Venancio Aires 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLWDLW

Aimore RS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWLDD

Head-to-head

Guarani de Venancio Aires 1–2–1 Aimore RS (4 last)

Aimore RS1-1Guarani de Venancio Aires
Guarani de Venancio Aires0-1Aimore RS
Guarani de Venancio Aires1-0Aimore RS
Aimore RS0-0Guarani de Venancio Aires

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guarani de Venancio Aires 1482 · Aimore RS 1506

	Guarani de Venancio Aires	Draw	Aimore RS
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	33%	31%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guarani de Venancio Aires	Aimore RS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.90

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:38 +5’	2.70	2.90	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani de Venancio Aires 1–2–1 Aimore RS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/18 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Aimore RS	1-1 HT 1-0	Guarani de Venancio Aires
21/03/18 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Guarani de Venancio Aires	0-1 HT 0-0	Aimore RS
23/04/17 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Guarani de Venancio Aires	1-0 HT 0-0	Aimore RS
19/03/17 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Aimore RS	0-0 HT 0-0	Guarani de Venancio Aires

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veranopolis	11	6	3	2	11	5	21
2	Passo Fundo RS	11	5	5	1	14	6	20
3	Santa Cruz RS	11	5	5	1	11	5	20
4	Uniao Frederiquense	11	5	4	2	10	5	19
5	CE Bento Goncalves	11	4	6	1	13	8	18
6	Brasil de Farroupilha	10	4	5	1	11	7	17
7	APAFUT	11	4	4	3	13	9	16
8	Aimore RS	11	4	4	3	10	10	16
9	Brasil de Pelotas	10	3	5	2	8	6	14
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	11	3	4	4	12	16	13
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	11	3	3	5	9	9	12
12	EC Pelotas	10	2	5	3	9	12	11
13	GE Bage	11	2	4	5	8	15	10
14	GE Gloria	10	2	3	5	7	10	9
15	Gramadense	11	1	4	6	7	16	7
16	Lajeadense	11	0	2	9	4	18	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guarani de Venancio Aires	Aimore RS
EC Pelotas	3-2 W	0-0 D
APAFUT	0-2 L	2-3 L
Gramadense	2-2 D	2-0 W
GE Bage	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sport Clube Gaucho	1-3 L	1-0 W
GE Gloria	2-1 W	1-0 W
Veranopolis	0-0 D	0-3 L
Brasil de Pelotas	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aimore RS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guarani de Venancio Aires

LDWLDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
10/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
05/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-2	3	9	D
02/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
27/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-2	3-3	4	5	D
16/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
13/08	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
07/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	2	5	L

Aimore RS

DWLWWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
10/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
02/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
23/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
20/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
13/08	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-3	5	6	L
08/08	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
06/08	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Aimore RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aimore RS win (36%). Probabilities: Guarani de Venancio Aires 33%, draw 31%, Aimore RS 36%.

How many goals are expected in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Aimore RS?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Guarani de Venancio Aires 1.17 · Aimore RS 1.23), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Aimore RS?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.