Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 24/09, 00:00

Prediction: Uniao Frederiquense vs Aimore RS

Team pages: Uniao Frederiquense · Aimore RS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Uniao Frederiquense1.11

Aimore RS0.84

1X2

41% 32% 27%

Uniao Frederiquense Draw Aimore RS

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Uniao Frederiquense 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DLDWWDWDDD

Aimore RS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDDDW

Head-to-head

Uniao Frederiquense 0–2–1 Aimore RS (3 last)

Aimore RS0-0Uniao Frederiquense
Aimore RS2-0Uniao Frederiquense
Uniao Frederiquense1-1Aimore RS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uniao Frederiquense 1524 · Aimore RS 1511

	Uniao Frederiquense	Draw	Aimore RS
Our model	40%	34%	26%
Market	42%	31%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uniao Frederiquense	Aimore RS
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.88

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +4’	2.15	2.88	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Uniao Frederiquense 0–2–1 Aimore RS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Aimore RS	0-0 HT 0-0	Uniao Frederiquense
13/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Aimore RS	2-0 HT 1-0	Uniao Frederiquense
15/03/15 Brazil Primeira Liga	Uniao Frederiquense	1-1 HT 0-0	Aimore RS

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	13	7	5	1	19	8	26
2	Veranopolis	13	6	4	3	11	6	22
3	CE Bento Goncalves	13	5	6	2	15	10	21
4	Uniao Frederiquense	13	5	6	2	14	9	21
5	Santa Cruz RS	13	5	6	2	12	8	21
6	APAFUT	13	5	5	3	16	11	20
7	Aimore RS	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
8	Brasil de Farroupilha	12	4	7	1	11	7	19
9	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	13	3	6	4	14	18	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	13	3	3	7	10	13	12
12	GE Bage	13	2	6	5	9	16	12
13	GE Gloria	12	2	5	5	10	13	11
14	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
15	Gramadense	13	1	6	6	8	17	9
16	Lajeadense	13	1	2	10	5	20	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uniao Frederiquense	Aimore RS
APAFUT	1-1 D	2-3 L
Brasil de Pelotas	0-0 D	0-1 L
Lajeadense	2-1 W	2-0 W
Veranopolis	1-0 W	0-3 L
Sport Clube Gaucho	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Uniao Frederiquense (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uniao Frederiquense

DLDWWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
17/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
06/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	12	4	W
23/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	7	8	D
16/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
13/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	8	9	D

Aimore RS

LWWLWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
10/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
02/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
23/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
20/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
13/08	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uniao Frederiquense vs Aimore RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uniao Frederiquense win (41%). Probabilities: Uniao Frederiquense 41%, draw 32%, Aimore RS 27%.

How many goals are expected in Uniao Frederiquense vs Aimore RS?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Uniao Frederiquense 1.11 · Aimore RS 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Uniao Frederiquense vs Aimore RS?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.