Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 24/09, 00:00

Prediction: Brasil de Farroupilha vs GE Bage

Team pages: Brasil de Farroupilha · GE Bage

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Brasil de Farroupilha1.37

GE Bage0.68

1X2

53% 29% 18%

Brasil de Farroupilha Draw GE Bage

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Brasil de Farroupilha 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWDWDD

GE Bage 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDDLLDD

Head-to-head

Brasil de Farroupilha 0–2–2 GE Bage (4 last)

GE Bage1-1Brasil de Farroupilha
GE Bage7-0Brasil de Farroupilha
Brasil de Farroupilha2-4GE Bage
Brasil de Farroupilha0-0GE Bage

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brasil de Farroupilha 1548 · GE Bage 1458

	Brasil de Farroupilha	Draw	GE Bage
Our model	52%	30%	17%
Market	53%	28%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasil de Farroupilha (rating 1548 vs 1458).
H2H favours GE Bage: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brasil de Farroupilha	GE Bage
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	1.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.70▲	Bet365 1.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	5.25 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +7’	1.65	3.20	5.25
17:03 +5’	1.70▲	3.20	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Farroupilha 0–2–2 GE Bage

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	GE Bage	1-1 HT 1-0	Brasil de Farroupilha
31/07/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3	GE Bage	7-0 HT 3-0	Brasil de Farroupilha
16/03/19 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Brasil de Farroupilha	2-4 HT 1-0	GE Bage
16/08/18 Brazil Copa Gaucho	Brasil de Farroupilha	0-0 HT 0-0	GE Bage

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	13	7	5	1	19	8	26
2	Veranopolis	13	6	4	3	11	6	22
3	CE Bento Goncalves	13	5	6	2	15	10	21
4	Uniao Frederiquense	13	5	6	2	14	9	21
5	Santa Cruz RS	13	5	6	2	12	8	21
6	APAFUT	13	5	5	3	16	11	20
7	Aimore RS	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
8	Brasil de Farroupilha	12	4	7	1	11	7	19
9	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	13	3	6	4	14	18	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	13	3	3	7	10	13	12
12	GE Bage	13	2	6	5	9	16	12
13	GE Gloria	12	2	5	5	10	13	11
14	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
15	Gramadense	13	1	6	6	8	17	9
16	Lajeadense	13	1	2	10	5	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brasil de Farroupilha	GE Bage
GE Gloria	0-0 D	0-2 L
Gramadense	0-0 D	1-1 D
APAFUT	1-0 W	0-3 L
CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 D	1-1 D
Passo Fundo RS	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sport Clube Gaucho	1-0 W	1-1 D
Guarani de Venancio Aires	3-3 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brasil de Farroupilha (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brasil de Farroupilha

WDDDWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
16/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
13/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
10/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
03/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
28/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	2-2	5	9	D
23/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-2	3-3	5	5	D
21/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
13/08	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	3-1	3	4	W

GE Bage

LLDWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
06/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
27/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
15/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
13/08	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	0-3	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brasil de Farroupilha vs GE Bage?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Farroupilha win (53%). Probabilities: Brasil de Farroupilha 53%, draw 29%, GE Bage 18%.

How many goals are expected in Brasil de Farroupilha vs GE Bage?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Brasil de Farroupilha 1.37 · GE Bage 0.68), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Brasil de Farroupilha vs GE Bage?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.