Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 24/09, 00:00

Prediction: CE Bento Goncalves vs Sport Clube Gaucho

Team pages: CE Bento Goncalves · Sport Clube Gaucho

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

CE Bento Goncalves1.45

Sport Clube Gaucho0.66

1X2

56% 28% 17%

CE Bento Goncalves Draw Sport Clube Gaucho

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CE Bento Goncalves 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLDDWLW

Sport Clube Gaucho 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWDLL

Head-to-head

CE Bento Goncalves 3–3–0 Sport Clube Gaucho (6 last)

CE Bento Goncalves1-1Sport Clube Gaucho
CE Bento Goncalves2-0Sport Clube Gaucho
Sport Clube Gaucho0-2CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves0-0Sport Clube Gaucho
Sport Clube Gaucho0-1CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves1-1Sport Clube Gaucho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Bento Goncalves 1526 · Sport Clube Gaucho 1468

	CE Bento Goncalves	Draw	Sport Clube Gaucho
Our model	55%	29%	16%
Market	56%	27%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CE Bento Goncalves (rating 1526 vs 1468).
H2H favours CE Bento Goncalves: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Bento Goncalves	Sport Clube Gaucho
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.40

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +11’	1.60	3.40	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Bento Goncalves 3–3–0 Sport Clube Gaucho

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 1-0	Sport Clube Gaucho
08/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	2-0 HT 0-0	Sport Clube Gaucho
10/07/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Sport Clube Gaucho	0-2 HT 0-1	CE Bento Goncalves
13/04/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Clube Gaucho
05/06/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Sport Clube Gaucho	0-1 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
21/04/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 0-0	Sport Clube Gaucho

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	13	7	5	1	19	8	26
2	Veranopolis	13	6	4	3	11	6	22
3	CE Bento Goncalves	13	5	6	2	15	10	21
4	Uniao Frederiquense	13	5	6	2	14	9	21
5	Santa Cruz RS	13	5	6	2	12	8	21
6	APAFUT	13	5	5	3	16	11	20
7	Aimore RS	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
8	Brasil de Farroupilha	12	4	7	1	11	7	19
9	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	13	3	6	4	14	18	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	13	3	3	7	10	13	12
12	GE Bage	13	2	6	5	9	16	12
13	GE Gloria	12	2	5	5	10	13	11
14	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
15	Gramadense	13	1	6	6	8	17	9
16	Lajeadense	13	1	2	10	5	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Bento Goncalves	Sport Clube Gaucho
Veranopolis	1-0 W	0-0 D
Passo Fundo RS	1-2 L	1-3 L
Brasil de Farroupilha	1-1 D	0-1 L
EC Pelotas	1-1 D	2-0 W
GE Gloria	1-2 L	2-1 W
GE Bage	1-1 D	1-1 D
Uniao Frederiquense	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CE Bento Goncalves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE Bento Goncalves

DWWDLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
17/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
12/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
10/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
02/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
20/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
16/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
14/08	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D

Sport Clube Gaucho

WWLLLDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
17/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
13/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
11/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
06/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
14/08	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Bento Goncalves vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE Bento Goncalves win (56%). Probabilities: CE Bento Goncalves 56%, draw 28%, Sport Clube Gaucho 17%.

How many goals are expected in CE Bento Goncalves vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

The model expects 2.11 goals (CE Bento Goncalves 1.45 · Sport Clube Gaucho 0.66), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Bento Goncalves vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.