Football · England Championship · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth

Team pages: Wolverhampton · Portsmouth

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Wolverhampton1.88
Portsmouth0.86
1X2
61% 23% 16%
Wolverhampton Draw Portsmouth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolverhampton 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLDWWLLW
Portsmouth 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWDDLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolverhampton 1523 · Portsmouth 1520
WolverhamptonDrawPortsmouth
Our model60%24%16%
Market61%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WolverhamptonPortsmouth
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.82.9 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 03.7 / 0.2

Standings · England Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Swansea 11722 16823
2 West Ham 11641 301222
3 Middlesbrough 11641 221622
4 Birmingham 11551 201120
5 West Brom 11623 151220
6 Stoke 11614 181619
7 Southampton 11632 211017
8 Wolverhampton 10523 181517
9 QPR 11452 151217
10 Blackburn 11434 171615
11 Sheff Utd 11434 151415
12 Millwall 11434 181815
13 Portsmouth 10424 131314
14 Wrexham 11353 151614
15 Bolton 11425 151814
16 Bristol City 11425 121514
17 Charlton 11353 101514
18 Lincoln City 11335 91912
19 Cardiff 11254 181711
20 Watford 11326 101911
21 Norwich 11308 17219
22 Burnley 11155 16218
23 Derby 11137 9206
24 Preston 11119 9244

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWolverhamptonPortsmouth
Sheff Utd 1-0 W 3-2 W
Blackburn 2-2 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolverhampton

DWWLDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Burnley
England Championship
1-1 2-1 63 W
13/10 Bolton
England Championship
0-1 1-3 95 L
10/10 Middlesbrough
England Championship
0-0 0-1 66 L
20/09 West Brom
England Championship
0-0 1-0 83 W
13/09 Sheff Utd
England Championship
0-0 1-0 93 W
06/09 Birmingham
England Championship
2-2 2-2 43 D
01/09 West Ham
England Championship
1-2 2-4 73 L
29/08 Stoke
England Championship
2-1 4-1 75 W
22/08 Preston
England Championship
1-0 3-1 –– W
14/08 Blackburn
England Championship
1-1 2-2 54 D

Portsmouth

LWLLWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Norwich
England Championship
0-0 1-0 15 W
14/10 Sheff Utd
England Championship
1-0 3-2 106 W
11/10 Southampton
England Championship
0-1 0-1 48 L
19/09 Blackburn
England Championship
1-1 2-2 93 D
12/09 Charlton
England Championship
0-0 0-0 52 D
05/09 Cardiff
England Championship
1-0 2-0 54 W
01/09 Derby
England Championship
0-1 0-2 113 L
29/08 Bristol City
England Championship
0-1 1-2 103 L
22/08 Lincoln City
England Championship
2-1 3-1 –– W
15/08 QPR
England Championship
1-3 1-3 61 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolverhampton win (61%). Probabilities: Wolverhampton 61%, draw 23%, Portsmouth 16%.

How many goals are expected in Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Wolverhampton 1.88 · Portsmouth 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.