Prediction: Lincoln City vs Burnley
Team pages: Lincoln City · Burnley
- Burnley0-1Lincoln City
| Lincoln City | Draw | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lincoln City | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lincoln City 1–0–0 Burnley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/17 England FA Cup | Burnley | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lincoln City |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 17 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheff Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lincoln City | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Bristol City | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lincoln City (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lincoln City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Millwall England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 14/10 | West Ham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Swansea England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Portsmouth England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Burnley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/10 | Charlton England Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Watford England Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Derby England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Swansea England Championship |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Norwich England Championship |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | West Brom England Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lincoln City vs Burnley?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Burnley win (40%). Probabilities: Lincoln City 32%, draw 28%, Burnley 40%.
How many goals are expected in Lincoln City vs Burnley?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Lincoln City 1.3 · Burnley 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lincoln City vs Burnley?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.