Football · England Championship · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Preston vs West Brom

Team pages: Preston · West Brom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Preston1.13

West Brom1.58

1X2

26% 27% 47%

Preston Draw West Brom

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Preston 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDLLL

West Brom 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLLWW

Head-to-head

Preston 0–1–5 West Brom (6 last)

Preston0-2West Brom
West Brom2-1Preston
West Brom3-1Preston
Preston1-1West Brom
West Brom3-0Preston
Preston0-4West Brom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Preston 1382 · West Brom 1524

	Preston	Draw	West Brom
Our model	26%	27%	47%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1382 vs 1524).
H2H favours West Brom: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Preston	West Brom
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.76
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.71 ★
2	2.05 → 1.95▼	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +8’	3.40	3.30	2.05
17:04 +3’	3.50▲	3.40▲	1.95▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +433’	3.51	3.47	2.09
12:21 +38’	3.78▲	3.62▲	1.96▼
20:08 +24’	3.76▼	3.71▲	1.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Preston 0–1–5 West Brom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Championship	Preston	0-2 HT 0-1	West Brom
18/10/25 England Championship	West Brom	2-1 HT 1-0	Preston
01/01/25 England Championship	West Brom	3-1 HT 3-0	Preston
30/11/24 England Championship	Preston	1-1 HT 0-1	West Brom
04/05/24 England Championship	West Brom	3-0 HT 1-0	Preston
30/09/23 England Championship	Preston	0-4 HT 0-2	West Brom

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16	8	23
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30	12	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	22	16	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20	11	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15	12	20
6	Stoke	11	6	1	4	18	16	19
7	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21	10	17
8	Wolverhampton	10	5	2	3	18	15	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15	12	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17	16	15
11	Sheff Utd	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
13	Portsmouth	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15	16	14
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	15	18	14
16	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10	15	14
18	Lincoln City	11	3	3	5	9	19	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18	17	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10	19	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17	21	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16	21	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9	20	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9	24	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Preston	West Brom
Wrexham	1-4 L	2-1 W
Birmingham	0-4 L	0-1 L
QPR	2-2 D	1-1 D
Watford	1-2 L	1-0 W
Blackburn	2-1 W	3-2 W
Charlton	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wolverhampton	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: West Brom (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Preston

LLLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wrexham England Championship	1-2	1-4	2	6	L
13/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
10/10	Millwall England Championship	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
19/09	QPR England Championship	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
12/09	Lincoln City England Championship	0-0	0-1	16	2	L
08/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Blackburn England Championship	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
01/09	Bristol City England Championship	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
29/08	Charlton England Championship	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

West Brom

WLDWWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Blackburn England Championship	1-2	3-2	8	5	W
13/10	Wrexham England Championship	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
10/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	QPR England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-0	1-3	6	1	L
23/08	Burnley England Championship	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Preston vs West Brom?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Brom win (47%). Probabilities: Preston 26%, draw 27%, West Brom 47%.

How many goals are expected in Preston vs West Brom?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Preston 1.13 · West Brom 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Preston vs West Brom?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.