Football · Brazil Serie A · 15/09, 01:00

Prediction: EC Bahia vs Remo

Team pages: EC Bahia · Remo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

EC Bahia2.18

Remo0.91

1X2

65% 21% 14%

EC Bahia Draw Remo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

EC Bahia 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDDWWW

Remo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDDLLL

Head-to-head

EC Bahia 0–3 Remo (3 last)

Remo2-1EC Bahia
EC Bahia1-3Remo
Remo4-1EC Bahia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Bahia 1520 · Remo 1464

	EC Bahia	Draw	Remo
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	65%	22%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EC Bahia (rating 1520 vs 1464).
H2H favours Remo: 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Bahia	Remo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.33

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.84 ★
2	7.50 → 7.00▼	Pinn 7.10

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +3’	1.42	4.20	7.50
07:33 +1’	1.42	4.20	7.00▼
20:32 +2’	1.40▼	4.33▲	8.00▲
05:37 +7’	1.44▲	4.33	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +109’	1.43	4.78	6.97
15:29 +56’	1.43	4.78	6.96▼
23:31 +8’	1.43	4.79▲	6.97▲
21:25 +59’	1.42▼	4.84▲	7.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Bahia 0–0–3 Remo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Copa do Brasil	Remo	2-1 HT 1-1	EC Bahia
23/04/26 Copa do Brasil	EC Bahia	1-3 HT 1-1	Remo
22/03/26 Brazil Serie A	Remo	4-1 HT 1-1	EC Bahia

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flamengo	26	16	6	4	51	21	54
2	Palmeiras	26	15	8	3	45	21	53
3	Athletico Paranaense	26	13	6	7	38	28	45
4	Fluminense	26	12	9	5	40	32	45
5	EC Bahia	26	11	10	5	40	32	43
6	Cruzeiro	26	12	6	8	38	37	42
7	Coritiba	26	10	7	9	34	35	37
8	Atletico Mineiro	25	10	6	9	32	30	36
9	Bragantino	25	10	5	10	31	28	35
10	Sao Paulo	25	9	6	10	31	28	33
11	Vitoria	26	9	5	12	25	37	32
12	Corinthians	26	8	8	10	27	27	32
13	Santos	25	8	8	9	37	38	32
14	Botafogo	25	8	7	10	37	40	31
15	Gremio	25	7	7	11	27	33	28
16	Mirassol	26	7	7	12	29	40	28
17	Vasco da Gama	25	6	7	12	27	40	25
18	Internacional	26	5	10	11	28	34	25
19	Remo	26	5	8	13	30	43	23
20	Chapecoense	25	3	8	14	27	50	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Bahia	Remo
Internacional	3-2 W	1-1 D
Vitoria	2-0 W	2-0 W
Fluminense	0-0 D	1-2 L
Corinthians	1-1 D	0-3 L
Atletico Mineiro	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: EC Bahia (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Bahia

WWDDDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	2-2	3-2	8	3	W
31/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	3-1	3-2	3	6	W
23/08	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
16/08	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	2-1	3-3	5	3	D
09/08	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
30/07	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	7	7	D
22/07	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
18/07	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
30/05	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	2-1	10	9	W

Remo

LWLWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Bahia vs Remo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Bahia win (65%). Probabilities: EC Bahia 65%, draw 21%, Remo 14%.

How many goals are expected in EC Bahia vs Remo?

The model expects 3.09 goals (EC Bahia 2.18 · Remo 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Bahia vs Remo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.