Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 06/09, 06:00

Prediction: Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)

Team pages: Avondale FC (W) · Boroondara Eagles (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Avondale FC (W)2.38

Boroondara Eagles (W)0.97

1X2

67% 20% 12%

Avondale FC (W) Draw Boroondara Eagles (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Avondale FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDDW

Boroondara Eagles (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLDD

Head-to-head

Avondale FC (W) 1–1–0 Boroondara Eagles (W) (2 last)

Avondale FC (W)3-3Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)1-2Avondale FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avondale FC (W) 1618 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1510

	Avondale FC (W)	Draw	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Our model	68%	19%	13%
Market	67%	21%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1618 vs 1510).
High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avondale FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0.1	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.20

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	5.75 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +29’	1.36	4.75	5.75
22:39 +23’	1.38▲	4.33▼	6.25▲
00:59 +11’	1.33▼	4.20▼	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Avondale FC (W) 1–1–0 Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Avondale FC (W)	3-3 HT 0-3	Boroondara Eagles (W)
10/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Avondale FC (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	26	19	3	4	67	27	60
2	Essendon Royals (W)	26	18	2	6	77	31	56
3	Avondale FC (W)	26	16	4	6	65	27	52
4	Bulleen Lions (W)	26	16	4	6	59	28	52
5	South Melbourne (W)	26	13	6	7	49	25	45
6	Boroondara Eagles (W)	26	14	3	9	53	40	45
7	Alamein FC (W)	26	13	3	10	34	27	42
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	26	11	2	13	48	54	35
9	Heidelberg United (W)	26	9	5	12	38	48	32
10	Preston Lions (W)	26	8	6	12	31	47	30
11	Keilor Park (W)	26	7	6	13	25	45	27
12	Spring Hills FC (W)	26	8	2	16	30	46	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	26	3	3	20	22	81	12
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	26	2	1	23	22	94	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avondale FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Spring Hills FC (W)	5-1 W	2-1 W
Box Hill (W)	1-1 D	1-3 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Heidelberg United (W)	4-0 W	3-1 W
Preston Lions (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Keilor Park (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Avondale FC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avondale FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	5-1	7	0	W
22/08	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	3-3	11	0	D
14/08	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
08/08	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	4-0	4-0	4	0	W
18/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
10/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
04/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	4-2	4	1	W
27/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	3-0	6-1	10	0	W
20/06	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	12	0	W

Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
22/08	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	3-0	3-3	3	0	D
16/08	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
08/08	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
25/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-1	7	0	W
19/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	4-2	4	0	W
14/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avondale FC (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Avondale FC (W) 67%, draw 20%, Boroondara Eagles (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Avondale FC (W) 2.38 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.