Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Heidelberg United (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)

Team pages: Heidelberg United (W) · Bentleigh Greens (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Heidelberg United (W)1.92

Bentleigh Greens (W)1

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Heidelberg United (W) Draw Bentleigh Greens (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Heidelberg United (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Bentleigh Greens (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDWLWD

Head-to-head

Heidelberg United (W) 4–1 Bentleigh Greens (W) (5 last)

Bentleigh Greens (W)1-2Heidelberg United (W)
Heidelberg United (W)3-1Bentleigh Greens (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)1-2Heidelberg United (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)2-1Heidelberg United (W)
Heidelberg United (W)1-0Bentleigh Greens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Heidelberg United (W) 1445 · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1471

	Heidelberg United (W)	Draw	Bentleigh Greens (W)
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Heidelberg United (W): 4-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Heidelberg United (W)	Bentleigh Greens (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	1.3 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0.1	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +41’	1.50	4.33	4.50
02:45 +3’	1.48▼	4.33	4.75▲
11:41 +5’	1.53▲	4.50▲	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidelberg United (W) 4–0–1 Bentleigh Greens (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Heidelberg United (W)
21/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Heidelberg United (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Bentleigh Greens (W)
21/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Heidelberg United (W)
17/08/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Heidelberg United (W)
25/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Heidelberg United (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Bentleigh Greens (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	25	18	3	4	66	27	57
2	Essendon Royals (W)	25	18	2	5	76	28	56
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	25	16	4	5	59	26	52
4	Avondale FC (W)	25	15	4	6	60	26	49
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	25	14	2	9	51	38	44
6	South Melbourne (W)	25	12	6	7	46	24	42
7	Alamein FC (W)	25	12	3	10	32	27	39
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	25	11	2	12	47	52	35
9	Heidelberg United (W)	25	8	5	12	37	48	29
10	Preston Lions (W)	25	7	6	12	29	46	27
11	Spring Hills FC (W)	25	8	2	15	29	41	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	25	7	5	13	23	43	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	25	3	3	19	22	80	12
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	25	2	1	22	22	93	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Heidelberg United (W)	Bentleigh Greens (W)
Essendon Royals (W)	1-3 L	2-5 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Keilor Park (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Avondale FC (W)	0-4 L	0-3 L
Bulleen Lions (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Alamein FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bentleigh Greens (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Heidelberg United (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	1-3	9	0	L
14/08	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	2-1	8	2	W
11/08	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	6	0	W
25/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-4	0-4	0	0	L
18/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/07	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
03/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
27/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
21/06	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-3	2	3	L
06/06	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-2	2	2	L

Bentleigh Greens (W)

WLDLLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
14/08	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
08/08	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	2-5	1	1	L
25/07	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
18/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	0	0	L
03/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
26/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
19/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
05/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Heidelberg United (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Heidelberg United (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Heidelberg United (W) 59%, draw 22%, Bentleigh Greens (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Heidelberg United (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Heidelberg United (W) 1.92 · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Heidelberg United (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.