Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U21

Team pages: Sydney Olympic · Sydney FC U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Sydney Olympic1.48

Sydney FC U211.44

1X2

38% 27% 36%

Sydney Olympic Draw Sydney FC U21

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney Olympic 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLLWLL

Sydney FC U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDLDLW

Head-to-head

Sydney Olympic 2–4 Sydney FC U21 (6 last)

Sydney FC U212-0Sydney Olympic
Sydney FC U210-2Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic1-2Sydney FC U21
Sydney Olympic1-2Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U211-3Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic1-2Sydney FC U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic 1438 · Sydney FC U21 1505

	Sydney Olympic	Draw	Sydney FC U21
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney FC U21 (rating 1438 vs 1505).
H2H favours Sydney FC U21: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney Olympic	Sydney FC U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:09 +14’	2.38	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic 2–0–4 Sydney FC U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	2-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic
04/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	0-2 HT 0-1	Sydney Olympic
22/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	1-2 HT 0-2	Sydney FC U21
25/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	1-2 HT 0-1	Sydney FC U21
17/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	1-3 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic
04/06/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	1-2 HT 1-0	Sydney FC U21

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	29	20	5	4	62	33	65
2	Sydney United 58	29	19	4	6	41	20	61
3	Marconi Stallions	29	19	4	6	49	21	61
4	Sutherland Sharks	29	14	4	11	45	36	46
5	Manly Utd	29	11	8	10	35	35	41
6	Sydney FC U21	29	11	7	11	37	42	40
7	NWS Spirit FC	29	12	4	13	36	37	40
8	SD Raiders	29	11	5	13	42	48	38
9	Wollongong Wolves	29	11	5	13	35	39	38
10	Rockdale Ilinden FC	29	11	4	14	44	44	37
11	St George City FA	29	10	7	12	28	42	37
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	29	10	5	14	52	48	35
13	Blacktown City	29	9	8	12	42	43	35
14	University NSW	29	9	5	15	38	47	32
15	St George Saints	29	8	3	18	28	49	27
16	Sydney Olympic	29	6	4	19	31	61	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney Olympic	Sydney FC U21
Sydney United 58	1-2 L	1-0 W
University NSW	3-1 W	2-3 L
Apia L Tigers	1-3 L	1-2 L
Manly Utd	0-4 L	0-0 D
Sutherland Sharks	1-1 D	1-1 D
St George Saints	2-1 W	0-0 D
Rockdale Ilinden FC	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney Olympic

LWLWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
15/08	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
08/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
02/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	1-3	2	1	L
24/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
18/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
11/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-2	3	0	W
04/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
27/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
20/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-3	0-4	0	1	L

Sydney FC U21

WWLLDDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	8	6	W
14/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
08/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/08	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-4	2	0	L
25/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
17/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
11/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
04/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	2-3	5	0	L
30/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney Olympic win (38%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic 38%, draw 27%, Sydney FC U21 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U21?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Sydney Olympic 1.48 · Sydney FC U21 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U21?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.