Football · Iraq Stars League · 07/09, 19:00
Prediction: Al Zawra'a vs Al Kahrabaa
Team pages: Al Zawra'a · Al Kahrabaa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Al Zawra'a1.62
Al Kahrabaa0.81
1X2
Al Zawra'a
Draw
Al Kahrabaa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Zawra'a
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Al Kahrabaa
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Zawra'a
5–1–0
Al Kahrabaa
(6 last)
- Al Zawra'a1-0Al Kahrabaa
- Al Kahrabaa0-1Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a3-0Al Kahrabaa
- Al Kahrabaa0-1Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a1-0Al Kahrabaa
- Al Kahrabaa1-1Al Zawra'a
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Zawra'a 1528 · Al Kahrabaa 1505
| Al Zawra'a | Draw | Al Kahrabaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Zawra'a: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Zawra'a | Al Kahrabaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 0.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Zawra'a 5–1–0 Al Kahrabaa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Zawra'a | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Kahrabaa |
| 01/01/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Kahrabaa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Zawra'a |
| 03/03/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Zawra'a | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Al Kahrabaa |
| 10/01/25 Iraq League | Al Kahrabaa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 04/04/24 Iraq League | Al Zawra'a | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Kahrabaa |
| 16/12/23 Iraq League | Al Kahrabaa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Karma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Al Zawra'a | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Naft SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Newroz SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Mosul FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Shorta SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Jolan SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Duhok | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Diyala FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Zakho | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Karbalaa FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Al Kahrabaa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Al Talaba | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Zawra'a
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 15/08 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Al Najaf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 17 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Al Qasim SC Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Al Kahrabaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Al Karkh Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 20/08 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 19/05 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Zawra'a vs Al Kahrabaa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Zawra'a win (56%). Probabilities: Al Zawra'a 56%, draw 25%, Al Kahrabaa 18%.
How many goals are expected in Al Zawra'a vs Al Kahrabaa?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Al Zawra'a 1.62 · Al Kahrabaa 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Zawra'a vs Al Kahrabaa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.