Football · Iraq Stars League · 13/09, 20:00
Prediction: Al Karkh vs Duhok
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Al Karkh1.3
Duhok1.47
1X2
Al Karkh
Draw
Duhok
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Karkh
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Duhok
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Karkh
2–2–2
Duhok
(6 last)
- Al Karkh0-1Duhok
- Duhok2-3Al Karkh
- Al Karkh2-4Duhok
- Duhok1-3Al Karkh
- Duhok0-0Al Karkh
- Al Karkh0-0Duhok
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Karkh 1465 · Duhok 1493
| Al Karkh | Draw | Duhok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Karkh | Duhok | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Karkh 2–2–2 Duhok
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Karkh | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Duhok |
| 27/09/25 Iraq Stars League | Duhok | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Al Karkh |
| 03/07/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Karkh | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Duhok |
| 02/11/24 Iraq Stars League | Duhok | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Al Karkh |
| 15/04/24 Iraq League | Duhok | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Karkh |
| 11/05/23 Iraq League | Al Karkh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Duhok |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Zawra'a | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Karma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Erbil SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Shorta SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Al Naft SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Jolan SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Newroz SC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Duhok | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Diyala FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 11 | Mosul FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Minaa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Zakho | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | Karbalaa FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Gharraf | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Karkh | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Al Talaba | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Al Kahrabaa | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Al Gharraf | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Karkh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Najaf Iraq Stars League |
4-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 11/05 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Duhok
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/09 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Karkh vs Duhok?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Duhok win (39%). Probabilities: Al Karkh 32%, draw 29%, Duhok 39%.
How many goals are expected in Al Karkh vs Duhok?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Al Karkh 1.3 · Duhok 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Karkh vs Duhok?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.