Football · Iraq Stars League · 13/09, 17:45

Prediction: Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa

Team pages: Al Kahrabaa · Al Minaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Al Kahrabaa1.15

Al Minaa1.07

1X2

37% 31% 33%

Al Kahrabaa Draw Al Minaa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Kahrabaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDDDDL

Al Minaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDWWLLD

Head-to-head

Al Kahrabaa 5–1–0 Al Minaa (6 last)

Al Kahrabaa2-0Al Minaa
Al Minaa1-2Al Kahrabaa
Al Minaa0-2Al Kahrabaa
Al Kahrabaa2-1Al Minaa
Al Kahrabaa2-2Al Minaa
Al Kahrabaa1-0Al Minaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Kahrabaa 1528 · Al Minaa 1479

	Al Kahrabaa	Draw	Al Minaa
Our model	36%	32%	32%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Kahrabaa (rating 1528 vs 1479).
H2H favours Al Kahrabaa: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Kahrabaa	Al Minaa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +7’	2.40	3.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Kahrabaa 5–1–0 Al Minaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/26 Iraq Stars League	Al Kahrabaa	2-0 HT 0-0	Al Minaa
05/01/26 Iraq Stars League	Al Minaa	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Kahrabaa
27/04/25 Iraq Stars League	Al Minaa	0-2 HT 0-0	Al Kahrabaa
30/01/25 Iraq Stars League	Al Kahrabaa	2-1 HT 0-1	Al Minaa
25/05/24 Iraq League	Al Kahrabaa	2-2 HT 1-1	Al Minaa
16/01/22 Iraq League	Al Kahrabaa	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Minaa

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Zawra'a	7	4	3	0	13	3	15
2	Al Karma	6	4	2	0	11	4	14
3	Erbil SC	6	4	2	0	8	1	14
4	Al Shorta SC	6	3	2	1	7	4	11
5	Al Naft SC	6	2	3	1	6	4	9
6	Al Talaba	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
7	Al Jolan SC	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
8	Newroz SC	6	2	2	2	8	5	8
9	Duhok	6	1	5	0	8	7	8
10	Diyala FC	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
11	Mosul FC	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Al Minaa	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	7	1	4	2	10	11	7
14	Ghaz Al Shamal	6	1	3	2	4	5	6
15	Zakho	6	1	3	2	5	9	6
16	Karbalaa FC	6	1	2	3	5	10	5
17	Al Gharraf	7	1	2	4	4	10	5
18	Al Kahrabaa	6	0	4	2	4	7	4
19	Naft Maysan	6	0	4	2	2	8	4
20	Al Karkh	6	0	1	5	4	10	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Kahrabaa	Al Minaa
Al Zawra'a	0-1 L	0-0 D
Al Gharraf	0-0 D	3-0 W
Erbil SC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Minaa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Kahrabaa

WWDWLDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
03/09	Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
29/08	Al Karkh Iraq Stars League	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
26/08	Al Karma Iraq Stars League	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
20/08	Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
16/08	Erbil SC Iraq Stars League	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
27/05	Duhok Iraq Stars League	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
19/05	Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
15/05	Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
11/05	Newroz SC Iraq Stars League	1-0	2-1	0	4	W

Al Minaa

WDDDDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
05/09	Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League	0-3	0-3	5	5	L
31/08	Erbil SC Iraq Stars League	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
26/08	Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
20/08	Zakho Iraq Stars League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
02/06	Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
28/05	Al Talaba Iraq Stars League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
24/05	Zakho Iraq Stars League	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
20/05	Mosul FC Iraq Stars League	0-0	1-0	0	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Kahrabaa win (37%). Probabilities: Al Kahrabaa 37%, draw 31%, Al Minaa 33%.

How many goals are expected in Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Al Kahrabaa 1.15 · Al Minaa 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.