Football · Spain La Liga · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: Villarreal vs Real Betis
Team pages: Villarreal · Real Betis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Villarreal1.7
Real Betis1.28
1X2
Villarreal
Draw
Real Betis
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Villarreal
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Real Betis
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villarreal
2–1–3
Real Betis
(6 last)
- Real Betis2-0Villarreal
- Villarreal2-2Real Betis
- Real Betis1-2Villarreal
- Villarreal1-2Real Betis
- Real Betis2-3Villarreal
- Villarreal1-2Real Betis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villarreal 1521 · Real Betis 1573
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1521 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Real Betis: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villarreal | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal 2–1–3 Real Betis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Villarreal |
| 18/10/25 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Real Betis |
| 13/04/25 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Villarreal |
| 15/12/24 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Real Betis |
| 10/03/24 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Villarreal |
| 13/08/23 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Real Betis |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | CD Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 19 | Malaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villarreal | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Levante | 5-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Oviedo | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villarreal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
4-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/04 | Oviedo Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
Real Betis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Elche Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Oviedo Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Girona Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villarreal vs Real Betis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal win (46%). Probabilities: Villarreal 46%, draw 26%, Real Betis 28%.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Real Betis?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Villarreal 1.7 · Real Betis 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Real Betis?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.