Football · Spain La Liga · 20/09, 18:30

Prediction: Villarreal vs Levante

Team pages: Villarreal · Levante

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Villarreal2.15
Levante1.18
1X2
58% 23% 19%
Villarreal Draw Levante
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Villarreal 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLLWDDLL
Levante 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLDWDL
Head-to-head
Villarreal 5–1 Levante (6 last)
  • Villarreal1-0Levante
  • Villarreal5-1Levante
  • Levante0-1Villarreal
  • Villarreal3-1Levante
  • Levante2-0Villarreal
  • Villarreal5-0Levante
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal 1499 · Levante 1496
VillarrealDrawLevante
Our model59%22%19%
Market58%23%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Villarreal: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VillarrealLevante
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.71.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.90.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.71.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.12.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal 501 Levante

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/08/26
Elite Club Friendlies
Villarreal1-0
HT 0-0
Levante
02/05/26
Spain La Liga
Villarreal5-1
HT 1-0
Levante
18/02/26
Spain La Liga
Levante0-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
03/08/22
Europe Friendlies
Villarreal3-1
HT 2-0
Levante
02/04/22
Spain La Liga
Levante2-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
03/01/22
Spain La Liga
Villarreal5-0
HT 3-0
Levante

Standings · Spain La Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barcelona 5500 21415
2 Real Madrid 5401 14412
3 CD Alaves 5311 11510
4 Sevilla 5311 8610
5 Deportivo A Coruna 5230 969
6 Real Betis 4301 559
7 Espanyol 5212 857
8 Athletic Bilbao 5212 767
8 Atletico Madrid 4211 767
10 Racing Santander 5212 997
11 Real Sociedad 5212 687
12 Osasuna 5212 587
13 Levante 5122 795
14 Getafe 5122 365
15 Celta Vigo 6042 364
16 Rayo Vallecano 5113 8144
17 Malaga 5032 283
18 Villarreal 4022 682
19 Elche 5023 6132
20 Valencia 5014 1101

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVillarrealLevante
Mallorca 1-1 D 2-0 W
Celta Vigo 2-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Levante (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal

WWDLLWDDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Deportivo A Coruna
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-3 74 L
28/08 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 94 L
23/08 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
0-0 2-2 35 D
16/08 Racing Santander
Spain La Liga
2-2 2-2 106 D
24/05 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
4-1 5-1 51 W
17/05 Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-2 93 L
13/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
2-2 2-3 63 L
10/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-1 42 D
02/05 Levante
Spain La Liga
1-0 5-1 74 W
26/04 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-1 78 W

Levante

LWWWLLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-2 2-4 32 L
06/09 Malaga
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 45 D
29/08 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
2-2 5-2 52 W
24/08 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 43 D
16/08 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-3 13 L
23/05 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-2 83 L
17/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 44 W
12/05 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
1-1 3-2 42 W
08/05 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
2-2 3-2 153 W
02/05 Villarreal
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-5 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal vs Levante?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal win (58%). Probabilities: Villarreal 58%, draw 23%, Levante 19%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Levante?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Villarreal 2.15 · Levante 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.