Football · Spain La Liga · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Osasuna vs Espanyol

Team pages: Osasuna · Espanyol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Osasuna1.53

Espanyol0.94

1X2

50% 28% 22%

Osasuna Draw Espanyol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Osasuna 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLLDW

Espanyol 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWDWLL

Head-to-head

Osasuna 2–2–2 Espanyol (6 last)

Osasuna1-2Espanyol
Espanyol1-0Osasuna
Osasuna2-0Espanyol
Espanyol0-0Osasuna
Espanyol1-1Osasuna
Osasuna1-0Espanyol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Osasuna 1491 · Espanyol 1505

	Osasuna	Draw	Espanyol
Our model	50%	28%	22%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Osasuna	Espanyol
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:48 +6’	1.83	3.30	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasuna 2–2–2 Espanyol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	1-2 HT 0-1	Espanyol
31/08/25 Spain La Liga	Espanyol	1-0 HT 0-0	Osasuna
18/05/25 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	2-0 HT 1-0	Espanyol
14/12/24 Spain La Liga	Espanyol	0-0 HT 0-0	Osasuna
04/02/23 Spain La Liga	Espanyol	1-1 HT 0-1	Osasuna
20/10/22 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	1-0 HT 0-0	Espanyol

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	10	2	9
2	Atletico Madrid	3	2	1	0	7	3	7
3	CD Alaves	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
5	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
6	Real Betis	3	2	0	1	4	5	6
7	Deportivo A Coruna	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
8	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
9	Levante	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Racing Santander	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Espanyol	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
12	Getafe	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
13	Real Sociedad	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
14	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
15	Rayo Vallecano	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Celta Vigo	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	3	9	1
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	1	7	1
20	Athletic Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Osasuna	Espanyol
Levante	0-0 D	3-0 W
Sevilla	2-1 W	1-2 L
Athletic Bilbao	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Espanyol (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Osasuna

DLWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
24/08	Levante Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
23/05	Getafe Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/05	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
12/05	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	1-2	8	11	L
08/05	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-3	1	3	L
02/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
26/04	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
21/04	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/04	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-1	1-1	6	7	D

Espanyol

LDLLWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
22/08	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	0	6	L
16/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	0	3	W
23/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
17/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
13/05	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
09/05	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
03/05	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
27/04	Levante Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
23/04	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Osasuna win (50%). Probabilities: Osasuna 50%, draw 28%, Espanyol 22%.

How many goals are expected in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Osasuna 1.53 · Espanyol 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.