Prediction: Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a
Team pages: Al Quwa Al Jawiya · Al Zawra'a
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya2-1Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a0-2Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya1-2Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a3-1Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya1-0Al Zawra'a
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya0-1Al Zawra'a
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Al Zawra'a | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya (rating 1548 vs 1496).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Al Zawra'a | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3–0–3 Al Zawra'a
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al Zawra'a |
| 05/10/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Zawra'a | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
| 10/04/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 03/01/25 Iraq League | Al Zawra'a | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
| 07/07/24 Iraq Cup | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 27/05/24 Iraq League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Karma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Al Naft SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Newroz SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Mosul FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Shorta SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Duhok | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Jolan SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Diyala FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Zakho | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Karbalaa FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Kahrabaa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Al Talaba | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Al Zawra'a |
|---|---|---|
| Karbalaa FC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Naft Maysan | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Mosul FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Quwa Al Jawiya (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/09 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 21/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/05 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
Al Zawra'a
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 15/08 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Al Najaf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 17 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Al Qasim SC Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win (37%). Probabilities: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 37%, draw 30%, Al Zawra'a 33%.
How many goals are expected in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.23 · Al Zawra'a 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.