Football · Iraq Stars League · 09/09, 20:00

Prediction: Al Minaa vs Naft Maysan

Team pages: Al Minaa · Naft Maysan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Al Minaa1.33
Naft Maysan0.92
1X2
45% 30% 25%
Al Minaa Draw Naft Maysan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Minaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDWWLL
Naft Maysan 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDDLDL
Head-to-head
Al Minaa 3–2 Naft Maysan (5 last)
  • Al Minaa0-1Naft Maysan
  • Naft Maysan1-3Al Minaa
  • Naft Maysan2-0Al Minaa
  • Al Minaa1-0Naft Maysan
  • Al Minaa3-0Naft Maysan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Minaa 1500 · Naft Maysan 1494
Al MinaaDrawNaft Maysan
Our model45%31%25%
Market45%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Al Minaa: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al MinaaNaft Maysan
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.31.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.24.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Minaa 302 Naft Maysan

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Iraq Stars League
Al Minaa0-1
HT 0-1
Naft Maysan
14/09/25
Iraq Stars League
Naft Maysan1-3
HT 0-1
Al Minaa
13/06/25
Iraq Stars League
Naft Maysan2-0
HT 2-0
Al Minaa
02/01/25
Iraq League
Al Minaa1-0
HT 0-0
Naft Maysan
27/06/24
Iraq League
Al Minaa3-0
HT 1-0
Naft Maysan

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Zawra'a 6330 12312
2 Erbil SC 5320 6111
3 Al Karma 5320 8411
4 Al Naft SC 5230 619
5 Newroz SC 5221 848
6 Mosul FC 5221 868
7 Al Shorta SC 5221 538
8 Al Jolan SC 5221 548
9 Duhok 5140 767
10 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 6141 10107
11 Al Minaa 5212 567
12 Diyala FC 5122 9105
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 5122 345
14 Al Gharraf 5122 255
15 Zakho 5122 485
16 Karbalaa FC 6123 5105
17 Al Kahrabaa 6042 474
18 Al Talaba 5032 483
19 Naft Maysan 5032 173
20 Al Karkh 5014 271

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl MinaaNaft Maysan
Al Naft SC 0-3 L 0-0 D
Al Gharraf 3-0 W 2-0 W
Al Zawra'a 0-0 D 0-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Minaa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Minaa

DWDDDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-3 0-3 55 L
31/08 Erbil SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 114 L
26/08 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
2-0 3-0 53 W
20/08 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
1-1 2-1 53 W
15/08 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 24 D
02/06 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 54 D
28/05 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 56 D
24/05 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-2 D
20/05 Mosul FC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-0 08 W
14/05 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 15 D

Naft Maysan

DWWLWDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 63 L
29/08 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 06 D
25/08 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-3 0-4 64 L
20/08 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 46 D
14/08 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 78 D
02/06 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-0 42 W
28/05 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-2 32 L
24/05 Al Najaf
Iraq Stars League
1-0 2-1 W
19/05 Al Qasim SC
Iraq Stars League
0-2 5-2 103 W
14/05 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-1 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Minaa vs Naft Maysan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Minaa win (45%). Probabilities: Al Minaa 45%, draw 30%, Naft Maysan 25%.

How many goals are expected in Al Minaa vs Naft Maysan?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Al Minaa 1.33 · Naft Maysan 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Minaa vs Naft Maysan?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.