Prediction: Mosul FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Team pages: Mosul FC · Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya2-1Mosul FC
- Mosul FC0-1Al Quwa Al Jawiya
| Mosul FC | Draw | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya (rating 1442 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mosul FC | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mosul FC 0–0–2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Mosul FC |
| 01/02/26 Iraq Stars League | Mosul FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Shorta SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Naft SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Newroz SC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Talaba | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Mosul FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbalaa FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mosul FC | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'a | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Karbalaa FC | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Diyala FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mosul FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mosul FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/09 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/09 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 21/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mosul FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win (44%). Probabilities: Mosul FC 27%, draw 29%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 44%.
How many goals are expected in Mosul FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Mosul FC 0.99 · Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mosul FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.