Football · Spain La Liga · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Levante vs Barcelona

Team pages: Levante · Barcelona

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Levante0.8
Barcelona2.12
1X2
12% 20% 67%
Levante Draw Barcelona
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Levante 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWLLDW
Barcelona 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Levante 0–1–5 Barcelona (6 last)
  • Barcelona3-0Levante
  • Levante2-3Barcelona
  • Levante2-3Barcelona
  • Barcelona3-0Levante
  • Levante3-3Barcelona
  • Barcelona1-0Levante
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante 1544 · Barcelona 1626
LevanteDrawBarcelona
Our model12%21%67%
Market13%20%68%
Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (rating 1544 vs 1626).
  • H2H favours Barcelona: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LevanteBarcelona
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.62.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.91 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.13.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.43.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante 015 Barcelona

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Spain La Liga
Barcelona3-0
HT 2-0
Levante
23/08/25
Spain La Liga
Levante2-3
HT 2-0
Barcelona
10/04/22
Spain La Liga
Levante2-3
HT 0-0
Barcelona
26/09/21
Spain La Liga
Barcelona3-0
HT 2-0
Levante
11/05/21
Spain La Liga
Levante3-3
HT 0-2
Barcelona
13/12/20
Spain La Liga
Barcelona1-0
HT 0-0
Levante

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Madrid 3300 1029
2 Atletico Madrid 3210 737
3 CD Alaves 3210 517
4 Barcelona 2200 706
5 Sevilla 3201 656
6 Real Betis 3201 456
7 Deportivo A Coruna 3120 535
8 Osasuna 2110 214
9 Levante 3111 554
9 Racing Santander 3111 554
11 Espanyol 3102 543
12 Getafe 2101 133
13 Real Sociedad 3102 363
14 Villarreal 3021 452
15 Rayo Vallecano 2011 231
16 Celta Vigo 2011 121
17 Valencia 3012 141
18 Elche 3012 391
19 Malaga 3012 171
20 Athletic Bilbao 2002 150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLevanteBarcelona
Real Betis 5-2 W 3-1 W
Osasuna 0-0 D 2-1 W
Espanyol 0-3 L 4-1 W
Celta Vigo 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante

WDLWWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
2-2 5-2 52 W
24/08 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 43 D
16/08 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-3 13 L
23/05 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-2 83 L
17/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 44 W
12/05 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
1-1 3-2 42 W
08/05 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
2-2 3-2 153 W
02/05 Villarreal
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-5 34 L
27/04 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 46 D
23/04 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 35 W

Barcelona

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 123 W
23/08 Elche
Spain La Liga
2-0 5-0 11 W
23/05 Valencia
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-3 84 L
17/05 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
1-0 3-1 61 W
13/05 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 43 L
10/05 Real Madrid
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-0 46 W
02/05 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-0 2-1 73 W
25/04 Getafe
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 34 W
22/04 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-0 52 W
11/04 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
2-0 4-1 79 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante vs Barcelona?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona win (67%). Probabilities: Levante 12%, draw 20%, Barcelona 67%.

How many goals are expected in Levante vs Barcelona?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Levante 0.8 · Barcelona 2.12), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Barcelona?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.