Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 01/09, 00:30
Prediction: UCV vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Team pages: UCV · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
UCV2.1
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1.07
1X2
UCV
Draw
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
UCV
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UCV
4–2–0
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-5UCV
- UCV3-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-2UCV
- UCV1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-2UCV
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-0UCV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UCV 1457 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1456
| UCV | Draw | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UCV: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UCV | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 6.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UCV 4–2–0 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-5 HT 1-3 | UCV |
| 27/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | UCV | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 20/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | UCV |
| 27/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | UCV | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 30/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-2 HT 1-0 | UCV |
| 24/06/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCV |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Monagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | UCV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCV | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Caracas | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Monagas | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Trujillanos | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Portuguesa | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 12 | L |
| 16/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCV vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UCV win (60%). Probabilities: UCV 60%, draw 23%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 17%.
How many goals are expected in UCV vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model expects 3.16 goals (UCV 2.1 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1.07), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UCV vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.