Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 20/09, 09:00

Prediction: Tung Sing vs WSE

Team pages: Tung Sing · WSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Tung Sing1.5

WSE2.11

1X2

27% 22% 51%

Tung Sing Draw WSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tung Sing 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLLWWW

WSE 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Tung Sing 0–1–3 WSE (4 last)

WSE1-0Tung Sing
Tung Sing0-2WSE
WSE0-0Tung Sing
Tung Sing0-1WSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tung Sing 1553 · WSE 1651

	Tung Sing	Draw	WSE
Our model	27%	23%	51%
Market	27%	21%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSE (rating 1553 vs 1651).
H2H favours WSE: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tung Sing	WSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	5.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	2.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X4.20

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.5 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	2.00 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +2’	2.75	4.00	2.00
06:56 +7’	3.30▲	4.20▲	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tung Sing 0–1–3 WSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	WSE	1-0 HT 0-0	Tung Sing
30/11/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Tung Sing	0-2 HT 0-0	WSE
21/04/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	WSE	0-0 HT 0-0	Tung Sing
21/01/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Tung Sing	0-1 HT 0-0	WSE

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	2	2	0	8	1	6
2	Tung Sing	2	2	0	4	1	6
2	WSE	2	2	0	4	1	6
4	Citizen AA	2	2	0	4	2	6
5	Resources Capital FC	1	1	0	5	1	3
6	Yuen Long	1	1	0	6	0	3
7	Sky Leader FC	2	1	1	2	3	3
8	Hoi King	2	1	1	2	5	3
9	Leaper FC	1	0	1	1	2	0
10	Sham Shui Po	2	0	2	1	3	0
10	South China AA	2	0	2	1	3	0
12	Bright Cerulean FC	1	0	1	0	3	0
13	Lucky Mile	2	0	2	2	7	0
14	Kui Tan SC	2	0	2	1	9	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tung Sing	WSE
Sham Shui Po	2-1 W	2-1 W
Lucky Mile	6-2 W	9-0 W
South China AA	1-2 L	1-0 W
Kwun Tong	3-2 W	9-1 W
Citizen AA	4-0 W	6-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: WSE (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tung Sing

LWWWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
06/09	Supreme FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/05	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	3-2	6-2	2	3	W
10/05	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
26/04	WSE Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
19/04	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
12/04	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	0-2	3-2	6	5	W
22/03	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
15/03	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	4-0	1	3	W
08/03	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	2-4	7	4	L

WSE

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
17/05	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	6-3	7	2	W
26/04	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
19/04	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	4-0	9-0	4	1	W
12/04	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	8-3	4	1	W
22/03	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	5-0	5-0	10	2	W
15/03	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	9-1	8	2	W
08/03	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	3-1	7-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tung Sing vs WSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an WSE win (51%). Probabilities: Tung Sing 27%, draw 22%, WSE 51%.

How many goals are expected in Tung Sing vs WSE?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Tung Sing 1.5 · WSE 2.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tung Sing vs WSE?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.