Prediction: Lucky Mile vs Hoi King
Team pages: Lucky Mile · Hoi King
- Lucky Mile1-5Hoi King
- Hoi King2-1Lucky Mile
| Lucky Mile | Draw | Hoi King | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 16% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoi King (rating 1371 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Hoi King: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucky Mile | Hoi King | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3.8 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucky Mile 0–0–2 Hoi King
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Lucky Mile | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Hoi King |
| 07/12/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Hoi King | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lucky Mile |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central & Western | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Citizen AA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Tung Sing | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Yuen Long | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | WSE | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Resources Capital FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kui Tan SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| 8 | Hoi King | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Sky Leader FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | South China AA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Leaper FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Bright Cerulean FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Lucky Mile | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucky Mile | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Central & Western | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| WSE | 0-9 L | 0-5 L |
| Shatin | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Sham Shui Po | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hoi King (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucky Mile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-4 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Hoi King
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-5 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucky Mile vs Hoi King?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hoi King win (71%). Probabilities: Lucky Mile 13%, draw 16%, Hoi King 71%.
How many goals are expected in Lucky Mile vs Hoi King?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Lucky Mile 1.16 · Hoi King 2.82), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucky Mile vs Hoi King?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.