Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 27/09, 09:30

Prediction: Bright Cerulean FC vs Resources Capital FC

Team pages: Bright Cerulean FC · Resources Capital FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Bright Cerulean FC1.18

Resources Capital FC3.18

1X2

7% 10% 83%

Bright Cerulean FC Draw Resources Capital FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bright Cerulean FC 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLLL

Resources Capital FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDDDLWD

Head-to-head

Bright Cerulean FC 2–2 Resources Capital FC (4 last)

Resources Capital FC6-1Bright Cerulean FC
Bright Cerulean FC1-4Resources Capital FC
Bright Cerulean FC3-1Resources Capital FC
Resources Capital FC2-3Bright Cerulean FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bright Cerulean FC 1352 · Resources Capital FC 1533

	Bright Cerulean FC	Draw	Resources Capital FC
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	4%	6%	90%

Estimated total (ours) 4.37 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resources Capital FC (rating 1352 vs 1533).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bright Cerulean FC	Resources Capital FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3.9	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/38/63%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.4 / 1.8	2.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

123.00

X15.00

21.04

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.95

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.88

Under 4.51.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	23.00 → 23.00	Bet365 23.00
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:44 +2’	23.00	15.00	1.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bright Cerulean FC 2–0–2 Resources Capital FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	6-1 HT 4-0	Bright Cerulean FC
19/10/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Bright Cerulean FC	1-4 HT 0-2	Resources Capital FC
06/04/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Bright Cerulean FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Resources Capital FC
22/12/24 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	2-3 HT 1-2	Bright Cerulean FC

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	3	3	0	0	13	1	9
2	Citizen AA	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
3	Tung Sing	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
4	Yuen Long	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
5	WSE	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
6	Resources Capital FC	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
7	Kui Tan SC	3	1	0	2	3	10	3
8	Hoi King	3	1	0	2	3	7	3
9	Sky Leader FC	3	1	0	2	2	8	3
10	Sham Shui Po	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
11	South China AA	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
12	Leaper FC	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
13	Bright Cerulean FC	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
14	Lucky Mile	3	0	0	3	3	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bright Cerulean FC	Resources Capital FC
Central & Western	0-3 L	2-5 L
Shatin	1-5 L	2-1 W
Kwun Tong	1-2 L	1-1 D
South China AA	0-3 L	1-1 D
Sky Leader FC	0-6 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Resources Capital FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bright Cerulean FC

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
13/09	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
17/05	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	1-6	2	3	L
26/04	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	1-5	2	0	L
19/04	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/04	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-3	1	1	L
22/03	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
15/03	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-6	2	2	L
08/03	WSE Hong Kong 1st Division	1-3	1-7	0	2	L

Resources Capital FC

LWWDDDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
13/09	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
17/05	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	–	2-5	–	–	L
10/05	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
26/04	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-1	10	2	D
19/04	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
12/04	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/03	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/03	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-1	10	8	W
08/03	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-2	1-5	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bright Cerulean FC vs Resources Capital FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Resources Capital FC win (83%). Probabilities: Bright Cerulean FC 7%, draw 10%, Resources Capital FC 83%.

How many goals are expected in Bright Cerulean FC vs Resources Capital FC?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Bright Cerulean FC 1.18 · Resources Capital FC 3.18), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bright Cerulean FC vs Resources Capital FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.