Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 20/09, 09:30
Prediction: Resources Capital FC vs South China AA
Team pages: Resources Capital FC · South China AA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Resources Capital FC2.05
South China AA1.2
1X2
Resources Capital FC
Draw
South China AA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Resources Capital FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
South China AA
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Resources Capital FC
3–1–2
South China AA
(6 last)
- Resources Capital FC1-0South China AA
- South China AA2-0Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC4-1South China AA
- South China AA4-1Resources Capital FC
- South China AA1-1Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC1-0South China AA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Resources Capital FC 1495 · South China AA 1555
| Resources Capital FC | Draw | South China AA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South China AA (rating 1495 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Resources Capital FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Resources Capital FC | South China AA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 7 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Resources Capital FC 3–1–2 South China AA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | South China AA |
| 21/12/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | South China AA | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Resources Capital FC |
| 09/03/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | South China AA |
| 27/10/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | South China AA | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Resources Capital FC |
| 01/12/19 Hong Kong 1st Division | South China AA | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Resources Capital FC |
| 05/05/19 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | South China AA |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central & Western | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Tung Sing | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | WSE | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Citizen AA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Resources Capital FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Yuen Long | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sky Leader FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Hoi King | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Leaper FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | South China AA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Bright Cerulean FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Kui Tan SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Resources Capital FC | South China AA |
|---|---|---|
| Hoi King | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Central & Western | 2-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Sham Shui Po | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Kwun Tong | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Tung Sing | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| WSE | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: South China AA (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Resources Capital FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 08/03 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
South China AA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Resources Capital FC vs South China AA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Resources Capital FC win (57%). Probabilities: Resources Capital FC 57%, draw 22%, South China AA 21%.
How many goals are expected in Resources Capital FC vs South China AA?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Resources Capital FC 2.05 · South China AA 1.2), with a 61% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Resources Capital FC vs South China AA?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.