Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 18/10, 09:30

Prediction: Central & Western vs Hoi King

Team pages: Central & Western · Hoi King

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Central & Western2.39

Hoi King1.48

1X2

57% 20% 22%

Central & Western Draw Hoi King

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Central & Western 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWL

Hoi King 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Central & Western 2–4 Hoi King (6 last)

Central & Western1-2Hoi King
Hoi King2-0Central & Western
Central & Western1-4Hoi King
Hoi King2-3Central & Western
Hoi King3-7Central & Western
Central & Western1-2Hoi King

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central & Western 1544 · Hoi King 1542

	Central & Western	Draw	Hoi King
Our model	57%	21%	22%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hoi King: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central & Western	Hoi King
Goals for / against (FT)	3.8 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +17’	1.57	4.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central & Western 2–0–4 Hoi King

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Hong Kong FA Cup Junior Division	Central & Western	1-2 HT 1-1	Hoi King
26/04/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	Hoi King	2-0 HT 1-0	Central & Western
30/11/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	1-4 HT 0-1	Hoi King
18/05/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Hoi King	2-3 HT 0-3	Central & Western
13/04/25 Hong Kong FA Cup Junior Division	Hoi King	3-7 HT 1-4	Central & Western
17/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	1-2 HT 1-1	Hoi King

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	5	4	0	1	20	6	12
2	WSE	5	4	0	1	12	5	12
3	Yuen Long	4	3	1	0	14	3	10
4	Tung Sing	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	Resources Capital FC	4	3	1	0	20	6	10
6	Citizen AA	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
7	South China AA	5	2	1	2	4	4	7
8	Hoi King	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
9	Sky Leader FC	5	2	0	3	6	12	6
10	Sham Shui Po	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
11	Kui Tan SC	5	1	1	3	7	17	4
12	Leaper FC	4	0	1	3	4	7	1
13	Lucky Mile	5	0	1	4	6	16	1
14	Bright Cerulean FC	4	0	0	4	3	20	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central & Western	Hoi King
Resources Capital FC	3-4 L	1-5 L
Kui Tan SC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Lucky Mile	5-1 W	3-0 W
Citizen AA	5-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Central & Western (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central & Western

WDLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	3-4	4	7	L
27/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
13/09	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	5-1	7	3	W
17/05	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	–	5-2	–	–	W
10/05	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	6-1	5	3	W
26/04	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
19/04	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
12/04	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	–	5-2	–	–	W

Hoi King

DDWWWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
04/10	Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
27/09	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
20/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
13/09	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-5	5	1	L
06/09	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
17/05	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
19/04	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
12/04	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central & Western vs Hoi King?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central & Western win (57%). Probabilities: Central & Western 57%, draw 20%, Hoi King 22%.

How many goals are expected in Central & Western vs Hoi King?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Central & Western 2.39 · Hoi King 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central & Western vs Hoi King?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.