Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 13/09, 09:30

Prediction: WSE vs South China AA

Team pages: South China AA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

WSE2.18

South China AA1.25

1X2

58% 21% 21%

WSE Draw South China AA

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

WSE 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

South China AA 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

WSE 0–3–2 South China AA (5 last)

South China AA0-0WSE
WSE1-1South China AA
South China AA1-1WSE
WSE0-5South China AA
WSE2-3South China AA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WSE 1635 · South China AA 1560

	WSE	Draw	South China AA
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	59%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSE (rating 1635 vs 1560).
H2H favours South China AA: 2-3-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WSE	South China AA
Goals for / against (FT)	5.1 / 1	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	2.3 / 0.2	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +22’	1.53	4.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · WSE 0–3–2 South China AA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	South China AA	0-0 HT 0-0	WSE
28/09/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	WSE	1-1 HT 0-1	South China AA
27/04/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	South China AA	1-1 HT 1-0	WSE
02/03/25 Hong Kong FA Cup Junior Division	WSE	0-5 HT 0-4	South China AA
17/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division	WSE	2-3 HT 0-2	South China AA

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	1	1	0	5	1	3
2	WSE	1	1	0	3	1	3
3	Tung Sing	1	1	0	2	0	3
4	Citizen AA	1	1	0	2	1	3
5	Hoi King	1	1	0	1	0	3
6	3 Sing FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Leaper FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Resources Capital FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Yuen Long	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	South China AA	1	0	1	1	2	0
11	Sham Shui Po	1	0	1	0	1	0
12	Kui Tan SC	1	0	1	1	3	0
13	Supreme FC	1	0	1	0	2	0
14	Lucky Mile	1	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WSE	South China AA
Sham Shui Po	2-1 W	3-4 L
Citizen AA	6-3 W	1-2 L
Tung Sing	1-0 W	2-1 W
Hoi King	5-0 W	2-0 W
Kwun Tong	9-1 W	4-2 W
3 Sing FC	7-1 W	3-0 W
Resources Capital FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: WSE (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WSE

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
17/05	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	6-3	7	2	W
26/04	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
19/04	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	4-0	9-0	4	1	W
12/04	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	8-3	4	1	W
22/03	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	5-0	5-0	10	2	W
15/03	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	9-1	8	2	W
08/03	3 Sing FC Hong Kong 1st Division	3-1	7-1	5	2	W
01/03	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

South China AA

DWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
17/05	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	3-1	4-2	8	0	W
10/05	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
26/04	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	3-4	3	4	L
19/04	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
12/04	3 Sing FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	3-0	9	1	W
22/03	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
15/03	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
08/03	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
01/03	Supreme FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WSE vs South China AA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a WSE win (58%). Probabilities: WSE 58%, draw 21%, South China AA 21%.

How many goals are expected in WSE vs South China AA?

The model expects 3.44 goals (WSE 2.18 · South China AA 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in WSE vs South China AA?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.