Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 13/09, 09:30

Prediction: Resources Capital FC vs Hoi King

Team pages: Hoi King

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Resources Capital FC2.83

Hoi King0.83

1X2

84% 11% 6%

Resources Capital FC Draw Hoi King

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Resources Capital FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDDDDL

Hoi King 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDDWWW

Head-to-head

Resources Capital FC 4–1–1 Hoi King (6 last)

Hoi King1-1Resources Capital FC
Resources Capital FC3-1Hoi King
Hoi King1-2Resources Capital FC
Resources Capital FC0-2Hoi King
Resources Capital FC1-0Hoi King
Resources Capital FC3-2Hoi King

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resources Capital FC 1485 · Hoi King 1556

	Resources Capital FC	Draw	Hoi King
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	88%	8%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoi King (rating 1485 vs 1556).
H2H favours Resources Capital FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resources Capital FC	Hoi King
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 6.4	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.06

X12.00

223.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.85

2 (+3.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.82

Under 4.751.98

Diff.: 1.95 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	23.00 → 23.00	Bet365 23.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +38’	1.06	12.00	23.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Resources Capital FC 4–1–1 Hoi King

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	Hoi King	1-1 HT 1-0	Resources Capital FC
23/11/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Hoi King
14/05/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Hoi King	1-2 HT 0-1	Resources Capital FC
10/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Hoi King
20/10/19 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Hoi King
25/02/18 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Hoi King

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	1	1	0	5	1	3
2	WSE	1	1	0	3	1	3
3	Tung Sing	1	1	0	2	0	3
4	Citizen AA	1	1	0	2	1	3
5	Hoi King	1	1	0	1	0	3
6	3 Sing FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Leaper FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Resources Capital FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Yuen Long	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	South China AA	1	0	1	1	2	0
11	Sham Shui Po	1	0	1	0	1	0
12	Kui Tan SC	1	0	1	1	3	0
13	Supreme FC	1	0	1	0	2	0
14	Lucky Mile	1	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resources Capital FC	Hoi King
Central & Western	2-5 L	2-0 W
Sham Shui Po	0-0 D	1-0 W
South China AA	1-0 W	0-2 L
Shatin	2-1 W	3-2 W
WSE	0-1 L	0-5 L
Yuen Long	0-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hoi King (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resources Capital FC

LLLWWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	–	2-5	–	–	L
10/05	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
26/04	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-1	10	2	D
19/04	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
12/04	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/03	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/03	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-1	10	8	W
08/03	Supreme FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-2	1-5	8	2	L
01/03	WSE Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
08/02	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Hoi King

DWLLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
17/05	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
19/04	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
12/04	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
22/03	WSE Hong Kong 1st Division	0-5	0-5	1	2	L
15/03	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	3-4	5	5	L
08/03	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
01/03	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	5-1	5	2	W
08/02	3 Sing FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-1	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resources Capital FC vs Hoi King?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resources Capital FC win (84%). Probabilities: Resources Capital FC 84%, draw 11%, Hoi King 6%.

How many goals are expected in Resources Capital FC vs Hoi King?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Resources Capital FC 2.83 · Hoi King 0.83), with a 60% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Resources Capital FC vs Hoi King?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.