Prediction: WSE vs Citizen AA
Team pages: WSE · Citizen AA
- Citizen AA3-6WSE
- WSE4-0Citizen AA
- WSE0-2Citizen AA
- Citizen AA3-1WSE
| WSE | Draw | Citizen AA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSE (rating 1605 vs 1486).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| WSE | Citizen AA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/22/11% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · WSE 2–0–2 Citizen AA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Citizen AA | 3-6 HT 1-2 | WSE |
| 05/10/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | WSE | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Citizen AA |
| 11/05/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | WSE | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Citizen AA |
| 24/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | Citizen AA | 3-1 HT 2-1 | WSE |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central & Western | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | WSE | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Yuen Long | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tung Sing | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Resources Capital FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Citizen AA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | South China AA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Hoi King | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Sky Leader FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Kui Tan SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
| 12 | Leaper FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 1 |
| 14 | Bright Cerulean FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | WSE | Citizen AA |
|---|---|---|
| Sky Leader FC | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| South China AA | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sham Shui Po | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Lucky Mile | 9-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: WSE (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
WSE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 6-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
4-0 | 9-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Citizen AA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/10 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in WSE vs Citizen AA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a WSE win (67%). Probabilities: WSE 67%, draw 18%, Citizen AA 15%.
How many goals are expected in WSE vs Citizen AA?
The model expects 4.18 goals (WSE 2.83 · Citizen AA 1.35), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in WSE vs Citizen AA?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.