Prediction: Sham Shui Po vs WSE
Team pages: Sham Shui Po · WSE
- Sham Shui Po1-2WSE
- WSE4-0Sham Shui Po
- Sham Shui Po1-3WSE
- WSE0-1Sham Shui Po
- Sham Shui Po1-2WSE
| Sham Shui Po | Draw | WSE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Market | 17% | 19% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSE (rating 1453 vs 1580).
- H2H favours WSE: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sham Shui Po | WSE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sham Shui Po 1–0–4 WSE
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Sham Shui Po | 1-2 HT 0-1 | WSE |
| 14/09/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | WSE | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Sham Shui Po |
| 06/04/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Sham Shui Po | 1-3 HT 0-0 | WSE |
| 29/09/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | WSE | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sham Shui Po |
| 02/01/22 Hong Kong FA Cup Junior Division | Sham Shui Po | 1-2 HT 1-0 | WSE |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yuen Long | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Resources Capital FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | WSE | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | South China AA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Citizen AA | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Tung Sing | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoi King | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 8 | Central & Western | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | Sky Leader FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 11 | Bright Cerulean FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 6 |
| 12 | Lucky Mile | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 4 |
| 13 | Kui Tan SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 14 | Leaper FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sham Shui Po | WSE |
|---|---|---|
| South China AA | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Kui Tan SC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Sky Leader FC | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Citizen AA | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Tung Sing | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Hoi King | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Resources Capital FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: WSE (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sham Shui Po
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
WSE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 6-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sham Shui Po vs WSE?
According to our model, the most likely result is an WSE win (64%). Probabilities: Sham Shui Po 16%, draw 20%, WSE 64%.
How many goals are expected in Sham Shui Po vs WSE?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Sham Shui Po 1.06 · WSE 2.25), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sham Shui Po vs WSE?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.