Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 15/11, 06:30
Prediction: Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC
Team pages: Sham Shui Po · Resources Capital FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Sham Shui Po0.9
Resources Capital FC2.9
1X2
Sham Shui Po
Draw
Resources Capital FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Sham Shui Po
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Resources Capital FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sham Shui Po
0–2–4
Resources Capital FC
(6 last)
- Sham Shui Po0-0Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC3-0Sham Shui Po
- Resources Capital FC4-2Sham Shui Po
- Sham Shui Po0-2Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC0-0Sham Shui Po
- Sham Shui Po0-1Resources Capital FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sham Shui Po 1471 · Resources Capital FC 1596
| Sham Shui Po | Draw | Resources Capital FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 7% | 12% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resources Capital FC (rating 1471 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Resources Capital FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sham Shui Po | Resources Capital FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 4.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 78/22/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 3.9 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sham Shui Po 0–2–4 Resources Capital FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Sham Shui Po | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Resources Capital FC |
| 07/09/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sham Shui Po |
| 19/01/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Sham Shui Po |
| 03/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | Sham Shui Po | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Resources Capital FC |
| 05/05/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Resources Capital FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sham Shui Po |
| 22/10/23 Hong Kong Premier League | Sham Shui Po | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Resources Capital FC |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yuen Long | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Resources Capital FC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | WSE | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | South China AA | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Tung Sing | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Hoi King | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 15 |
| 7 | Citizen AA | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Central & Western | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Sham Shui Po | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Kui Tan SC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 7 |
| 11 | Sky Leader FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 7 |
| 12 | Bright Cerulean FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 6 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 4 |
| 14 | Leaper FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sham Shui Po | Resources Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| WSE | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| South China AA | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Kui Tan SC | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Sky Leader FC | 1-3 L | 9-0 W |
| Citizen AA | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Hoi King | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Resources Capital FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sham Shui Po
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
Resources Capital FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 9-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 10-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 13/09 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Resources Capital FC win (80%). Probabilities: Sham Shui Po 8%, draw 13%, Resources Capital FC 80%.
How many goals are expected in Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Sham Shui Po 0.9 · Resources Capital FC 2.9), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.