Prediction: Hoi King vs Sky Leader FC
Team pages: Hoi King
- Hoi King1-6Sky Leader FC
- Sky Leader FC4-1Hoi King
| Hoi King | Draw | Sky Leader FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| Market | 55% | 20% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoi King (rating 1537 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Sky Leader FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hoi King | Sky Leader FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoi King 0–0–2 Sky Leader FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Hoi King | 1-6 HT 1-2 | Sky Leader FC |
| 19/10/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Sky Leader FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Hoi King |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yuen Long | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Resources Capital FC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | WSE | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | South China AA | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Tung Sing | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Hoi King | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 15 |
| 7 | Citizen AA | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Central & Western | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Sham Shui Po | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Kui Tan SC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 7 |
| 11 | Sky Leader FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 7 |
| 12 | Bright Cerulean FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 6 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 4 |
| 14 | Leaper FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hoi King | Sky Leader FC |
|---|---|---|
| WSE | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Central & Western | 3-2 W | 0-5 L |
| Citizen AA | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Leaper FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Lucky Mile | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Kui Tan SC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Resources Capital FC | 1-5 L | 0-9 L |
| Sham Shui Po | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hoi King (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hoi King
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
4-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 04/10 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Sky Leader FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-9 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hoi King vs Sky Leader FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hoi King win (55%). Probabilities: Hoi King 55%, draw 20%, Sky Leader FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Hoi King vs Sky Leader FC?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Hoi King 2.56 · Sky Leader FC 1.74), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Hoi King vs Sky Leader FC?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.