Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 15/11, 10:30

Prediction: Central & Western vs Tung Sing

Team pages: Central & Western · Tung Sing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Central & Western1.9

Tung Sing1.75

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Central & Western Draw Tung Sing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Central & Western 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLLD

Tung Sing 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Central & Western 1–1 Tung Sing (2 last)

Tung Sing2-4Central & Western
Central & Western0-2Tung Sing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central & Western 1523 · Tung Sing 1539

	Central & Western	Draw	Tung Sing
Our model	41%	23%	35%
Market	42%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central & Western	Tung Sing
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 1.6	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	2.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:26 +43’	2.15	4.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Central & Western 1–0–1 Tung Sing

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	Tung Sing	2-4 HT 1-2	Central & Western
16/11/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	0-2 HT 0-1	Tung Sing

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Yuen Long	8	7	1	0	26	5	22
2	Resources Capital FC	8	6	2	0	41	9	20
3	WSE	9	5	2	2	17	9	17
4	South China AA	9	5	2	2	11	6	17
5	Tung Sing	9	5	1	3	13	8	16
6	Hoi King	9	4	3	2	21	14	15
7	Citizen AA	9	4	2	3	12	15	14
8	Central & Western	8	4	1	3	24	13	13
9	Sham Shui Po	9	3	1	5	9	14	10
10	Kui Tan SC	9	2	1	6	11	27	7
11	Sky Leader FC	9	2	1	6	8	26	7
12	Bright Cerulean FC	8	2	0	6	7	32	6
13	Lucky Mile	9	1	1	7	10	25	4
14	Leaper FC	7	0	2	5	6	13	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central & Western	Tung Sing
South China AA	1-1 D	0-1 L
Yuen Long	1-3 L	2-2 D
Sky Leader FC	5-0 W	2-0 W
Bright Cerulean FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
Lucky Mile	5-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Central & Western (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central & Western

WWWWWWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
25/10	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
18/10	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	1-1	2-3	0	4	L
04/10	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	1-2	3-4	4	7	L
27/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
13/09	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	5-1	7	3	W
17/05	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	–	5-2	–	–	W
10/05	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	6-1	5	3	W

Tung Sing

WWWWDLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
25/10	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
18/10	Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
11/10	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
27/09	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
20/09	WSE Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-1	1	2	W
13/09	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
06/09	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/05	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	3-2	6-2	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central & Western vs Tung Sing?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central & Western win (41%). Probabilities: Central & Western 41%, draw 23%, Tung Sing 36%.

How many goals are expected in Central & Western vs Tung Sing?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Central & Western 1.9 · Tung Sing 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Central & Western vs Tung Sing?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.