Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 03/09, 17:15

Prediction: Atlantis vs PEPO

Team pages: Atlantis · PEPO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.51Total

Atlantis2.32

PEPO2.2

1X2

42% 21% 38%

Atlantis Draw PEPO

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWL

PEPO 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Atlantis 1–1–3 PEPO (5 last)

Atlantis5-1PEPO
PEPO4-1Atlantis
PEPO3-2Atlantis
PEPO4-1Atlantis
Atlantis1-1PEPO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis 1550 · PEPO 1558

	Atlantis	Draw	PEPO
Our model	42%	20%	38%
Market	42%	21%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours PEPO: 3-1-1.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis	PEPO
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 2.5	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	2.8 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.33

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.52.00

Under 4.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 5.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +18’	2.15	4.33	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis 1–1–3 PEPO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	5-1 HT 3-0	PEPO
25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PEPO	4-1 HT 2-1	Atlantis
11/02/24 Europe Friendlies	PEPO	3-2 HT 2-1	Atlantis
15/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PEPO	4-1 HT 1-1	Atlantis
01/06/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	1-1 HT 1-0	PEPO

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	19	13	3	3	43	25	42
2	PEPO	19	11	5	3	37	24	38
3	Atlantis	19	10	2	7	63	46	32
4	HIFK 2	19	8	6	5	41	34	30
5	HPS	19	7	4	8	40	43	25
6	PPJ	19	5	9	5	34	32	24

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis	PEPO
HIFK 2	1-2 L	5-1 W
PPJ	6-3 W	1-1 D
Reipas	4-2 W	2-1 W
Puiu	2-2 D	3-2 W
HPS	5-3 W	2-0 W
Union Plaani	6-3 W	2-0 W
Kiffen	3-5 L	0-2 L
MyPa	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis

WWLWWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	6-3	4	4	W
15/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
07/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L
04/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-1	2	5	W
27/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	8	6	W

PEPO

DLWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
22/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
16/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
07/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-1	9	7	W
31/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
18/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
11/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	11	4	W
04/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	1-5	4	5	L
27/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis vs PEPO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis win (42%). Probabilities: Atlantis 42%, draw 21%, PEPO 38%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis vs PEPO?

The model expects 4.51 goals (Atlantis 2.32 · PEPO 2.2), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis vs PEPO?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.