Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Honka vs HJS

Team pages: FC Honka · HJS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

FC Honka2.91

HJS1.04

1X2

75% 14% 11%

FC Honka Draw HJS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Honka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWWWDW

HJS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Honka 4–2–0 HJS (6 last)

FC Honka1-1HJS
HJS0-2FC Honka
FC Honka2-0HJS
HJS2-3FC Honka
HJS0-0FC Honka
FC Honka3-1HJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka 1595 · HJS 1447

	FC Honka	Draw	HJS
Our model	75%	15%	10%
Market	76%	13%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1595 vs 1447).
H2H favours FC Honka: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Honka	HJS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.2	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.18

X7.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:04 +7’	1.18	7.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 4–2–0 HJS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	1-1 HT 0-1	HJS
02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Honka
04/10/25 Finland Kakkonnen Play-Offs	FC Honka	2-0 HT 0-0	HJS
27/09/25 Finland Kakkonnen Play-Offs	HJS	2-3 HT 0-2	FC Honka
03/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Honka
29/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	3-1 HT 1-0	HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	20	14	5	1	58	18	47
2	AIFK	20	13	3	4	40	20	42
3	EPS	20	11	2	7	43	28	35
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	20	9	6	5	56	32	33
5	P-Iirot	20	9	4	7	33	27	31
6	HJS	20	9	4	7	32	33	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Honka	HJS
EPS	1-0 W	1-4 L
P-Iirot	1-1 D	0-3 L
EBK	2-0 W	5-3 W
GrIFK	2-1 W	0-1 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-2 D	1-5 L
MuSa	7-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka

WDDWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
04/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	7-1	5	3	W

HJS

LDWWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-5	3	1	L
28/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
15/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
08/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs HJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (75%). Probabilities: FC Honka 75%, draw 14%, HJS 11%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs HJS?

The model expects 3.95 goals (FC Honka 2.91 · HJS 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka vs HJS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.