Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: MuSa vs EBK

Team pages: MuSa · EBK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
MuSa1.59
EBK2.35
1X2
25% 21% 54%
MuSa Draw EBK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MuSa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLLLWL
EBK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLLWLD
Head-to-head
MuSa 1–1 EBK (2 last)
  • MuSa0-4EBK
  • EBK0-2MuSa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MuSa 1428 · EBK 1444
MuSaDrawEBK
Our model25%21%54%
Market25%21%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MuSaEBK
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 3.21.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.20.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.72.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.8 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · MuSa 101 EBK

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa0-4
HT 0-1
EBK
12/06/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EBK0-2
HT 0-2
MuSa

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 19748 243225
2 EBK 194411 284416
3 MuSa 193313 195912
4 NJS 191117 14544

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMuSaEBK
NJS 0-4 L 3-1 W
AIFK 1-2 L 1-6 L
Tampereen Ilves 2 0-7 L 2-3 L
EPS 0-2 L 1-5 L
HJS 1-2 L 3-5 L
GrIFK 3-1 W 1-1 D
FC Honka 1-7 L 0-2 L
P-Iirot 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MuSa (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MuSa

DLWLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 62 L
22/08 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 26 W
15/08 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 L
08/08 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 04 L
04/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-7 41 L
25/07 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 03 L
18/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 1-2 74 L
09/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 34 W
04/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-7 13 L
27/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 2-2 15 D

EBK

LLWDLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 46 D
22/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 15 L
15/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 W
08/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-5 45 L
31/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 1010 L
24/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-5 50 L
18/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
11/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 3-1 134 W
02/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-6 34 L
28/06 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-3 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MuSa vs EBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EBK win (54%). Probabilities: MuSa 25%, draw 21%, EBK 54%.

How many goals are expected in MuSa vs EBK?

The model expects 3.94 goals (MuSa 1.59 · EBK 2.35), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MuSa vs EBK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.