Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 07/09, 18:00

Prediction: Tampereen Ilves 2 vs P-Iirot

Team pages: Tampereen Ilves 2 · P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Tampereen Ilves 22.23

P-Iirot1.57

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Tampereen Ilves 2 Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tampereen Ilves 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLWLLW

P-Iirot 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLLDW

Head-to-head

Tampereen Ilves 2 4–2 P-Iirot (6 last)

P-Iirot2-1Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 23-2P-Iirot
P-Iirot2-4Tampereen Ilves 2
P-Iirot1-2Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 21-5P-Iirot
P-Iirot0-3Tampereen Ilves 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampereen Ilves 2 1529 · P-Iirot 1519

	Tampereen Ilves 2	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	21%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tampereen Ilves 2: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampereen Ilves 2	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +5’	1.73	4.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampereen Ilves 2 4–0–2 P-Iirot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	2-1 HT 2-0	Tampereen Ilves 2
17/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	3-2 HT 1-1	P-Iirot
02/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	2-4 HT 1-3	Tampereen Ilves 2
16/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-2 HT 0-0	Tampereen Ilves 2
14/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	1-5 HT 0-3	P-Iirot
01/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	0-3 HT 0-2	Tampereen Ilves 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	20	14	5	1	58	18	47
2	AIFK	20	13	3	4	40	20	42
3	EPS	20	11	2	7	43	28	35
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	20	9	6	5	56	32	33
5	P-Iirot	20	9	4	7	33	27	31
6	HJS	20	9	4	7	32	33	31

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampereen Ilves 2	P-Iirot
HJS	5-1 W	3-0 W
AIFK	0-1 L	2-1 W
GrIFK	2-3 L	2-0 W
NJS	4-0 W	1-0 W
FC Honka	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampereen Ilves 2

DWDLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	5-1	3	1	W
28/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
22/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
15/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	13	1	W
08/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W
10/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D

P-Iirot

WLDWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
28/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampereen Ilves 2 win (52%). Probabilities: Tampereen Ilves 2 52%, draw 22%, P-Iirot 26%.

How many goals are expected in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Tampereen Ilves 2 2.23 · P-Iirot 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.