Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Tampereen Ilves 2 vs FC Honka

Team pages: Tampereen Ilves 2 · FC Honka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Tampereen Ilves 21.69

FC Honka2.3

1X2

28% 21% 51%

Tampereen Ilves 2 Draw FC Honka

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tampereen Ilves 2 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLLWW

FC Honka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Tampereen Ilves 2 3–2–1 FC Honka (6 last)

Tampereen Ilves 22-2FC Honka
FC Honka2-2Tampereen Ilves 2
FC Honka4-2Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 24-1FC Honka
Tampereen Ilves 22-1FC Honka
FC Honka1-3Tampereen Ilves 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampereen Ilves 2 1532 · FC Honka 1566

	Tampereen Ilves 2	Draw	FC Honka
Our model	28%	21%	51%
Market	28%	21%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tampereen Ilves 2: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampereen Ilves 2	FC Honka
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.5	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.4	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.33

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.61 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.96 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +8’	3.70	4.33	1.61
21:40 +52’	3.25▼	4.20▼	1.75▲
14:30 +1’	3.20▼	4.33▲	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +219’	3.50	4.05	1.75
22:12 +20’	3.49▼	4.01▼	1.75▲
06:33 +9’	3.61▲	4.07▲	1.71▼
11:38 +16’	3.39▼	4.07	1.77▲
14:21 +9’	2.97▼	4.07	1.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampereen Ilves 2 3–2–1 FC Honka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Honka
08/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	2-2 HT 0-2	Tampereen Ilves 2
08/03/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Honka	4-2 HT 1-1	Tampereen Ilves 2
07/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	4-1 HT 2-0	FC Honka
13/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Honka
12/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	1-3 HT 1-1	Tampereen Ilves 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	21	15	5	1	63	19	50
2	AIFK	22	14	4	4	43	21	46
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	21	10	6	5	62	33	36
4	EPS	22	11	3	8	43	31	36
5	P-Iirot	22	10	4	8	37	33	34
6	HJS	22	9	4	9	34	41	31

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampereen Ilves 2	FC Honka
P-Iirot	6-1 W	1-1 D
HJS	5-1 W	5-1 W
GrIFK	2-3 L	2-1 W
NJS	4-0 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampereen Ilves 2

WDLWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-1	6	4	W
02/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	5-1	3	1	W
28/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
22/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
15/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	13	1	W
08/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W

FC Honka

DDWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	5-1	3	4	W
02/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs FC Honka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Honka win (51%). Probabilities: Tampereen Ilves 2 28%, draw 21%, FC Honka 51%.

How many goals are expected in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs FC Honka?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Tampereen Ilves 2 1.69 · FC Honka 2.3), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs FC Honka?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.