Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: P-Iirot vs EPS

Team pages: P-Iirot · EPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

P-Iirot1.56

EPS1.55

1X2

38% 25% 37%

P-Iirot Draw EPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

P-Iirot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLLDWL

EPS 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

P-Iirot 2–2–2 EPS (6 last)

EPS2-0P-Iirot
P-Iirot2-1EPS
EPS3-2P-Iirot
P-Iirot1-0EPS
EPS4-4P-Iirot
P-Iirot1-1EPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · P-Iirot 1508 · EPS 1577

	P-Iirot	Draw	EPS
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EPS (rating 1508 vs 1577).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	P-Iirot	EPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.80

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.40 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
06:28 +8’	2.30	3.80	2.40
08:46 +11’	2.35▲	3.80	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · P-Iirot 2–2–2 EPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	2-0 HT 1-0	P-Iirot
02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	2-1 HT 0-1	EPS
26/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	3-2 HT 1-1	P-Iirot
04/06/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-0 HT 1-0	EPS
28/09/19 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	4-4 HT 1-3	P-Iirot
29/06/19 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-1 HT 0-0	EPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	21	15	5	1	63	19	50
2	AIFK	21	13	4	4	40	20	43
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	21	10	6	5	62	33	36
4	EPS	21	11	3	7	43	28	36
5	P-Iirot	21	9	4	8	34	33	31
6	HJS	21	9	4	8	33	38	31

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	P-Iirot	EPS
AIFK	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Honka	1-1 D	0-1 L
NJS	1-0 W	2-1 W
EBK	1-1 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: P-Iirot (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

P-Iirot

LDWWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-6	5	4	L
02/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
28/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

EPS

WWWWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
02/09	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
28/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
22/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	3-2	5	8	W
08/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in P-Iirot vs EPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a P-Iirot win (38%). Probabilities: P-Iirot 38%, draw 25%, EPS 37%.

How many goals are expected in P-Iirot vs EPS?

The model expects 3.11 goals (P-Iirot 1.56 · EPS 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in P-Iirot vs EPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.