Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: NJS vs GrIFK

Team pages: NJS · GrIFK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

NJS1

GrIFK2.03

1X2

18% 21% 61%

NJS Draw GrIFK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NJS 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

GrIFK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWWD

Head-to-head

NJS 0–3–2 GrIFK (5 last)

GrIFK2-0NJS
NJS0-1GrIFK
GrIFK3-3NJS
NJS1-1GrIFK
GrIFK1-1NJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NJS 1403 · GrIFK 1501

	NJS	Draw	GrIFK
Our model	17%	23%	60%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK (rating 1403 vs 1501).
H2H favours GrIFK: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJS	GrIFK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.6	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.5	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	5.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:33 +10’	4.75	4.75	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NJS 0–3–2 GrIFK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	GrIFK	2-0 HT 1-0	NJS
24/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	NJS	0-1 HT 0-0	GrIFK
22/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	GrIFK	3-3 HT 2-1	NJS
13/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	NJS	1-1 HT 0-1	GrIFK
12/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	GrIFK	1-1 HT 1-0	NJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GrIFK	19	7	4	8	24	32	25
2	EBK	19	4	4	11	28	44	16
3	MuSa	19	3	3	13	19	59	12
4	NJS	19	1	1	17	14	54	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJS	GrIFK
MuSa	4-0 W	1-3 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	0-4 L	3-2 W
FC Honka	0-7 L	1-2 L
P-Iirot	0-1 L	0-2 L
AIFK	1-2 L	0-1 L
EBK	1-3 L	1-1 D
HJS	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NJS

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	7	2	W
22/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-2	1	6	L
15/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-4	1	1	L
08/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	0-7	0	0	L
01/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
24/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-3	4	4	L
03/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
27/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-3	3	2	L

GrIFK

WLLLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
22/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	3-2	2	5	W
15/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
08/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
31/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	2-1	5	10	W
25/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	1	6	L
17/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-6	1	6	L
09/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
03/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJS vs GrIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GrIFK win (61%). Probabilities: NJS 18%, draw 21%, GrIFK 61%.

How many goals are expected in NJS vs GrIFK?

The model expects 3.02 goals (NJS 1 · GrIFK 2.03), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NJS vs GrIFK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.