Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: AIFK vs HJS

Team pages: AIFK · HJS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

AIFK2.13

HJS1

1X2

63% 21% 16%

AIFK Draw HJS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AIFK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWWLD

HJS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

AIFK 0–1–1 HJS (2 last)

AIFK0-1HJS
HJS1-1AIFK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIFK 1540 · HJS 1486

	AIFK	Draw	HJS
Our model	62%	22%	16%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1540 vs 1486).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIFK	HJS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.4	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.53
2	4.50 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.98 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:25 +11’	1.50	4.33	4.50
19:14 +2’	1.40▼	4.50▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +183’	1.39	4.53	5.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AIFK 0–1–1 HJS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	AIFK	0-1 HT 0-0	HJS
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	1-1 HT 1-1	AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	21	15	5	1	63	19	50
2	AIFK	21	13	4	4	40	20	43
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	21	10	6	5	62	33	36
4	EPS	21	11	3	7	43	28	36
5	P-Iirot	21	9	4	8	34	33	31
6	HJS	21	9	4	8	33	38	31

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIFK	HJS
EPS	0-0 D	1-4 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-0 W	1-5 L
MuSa	2-1 W	2-1 W
GrIFK	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AIFK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIFK

DWWLWLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
02/09	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
28/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
22/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	2-3	2	8	L
08/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
24/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

HJS

DWWWWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	1-5	6	4	L
02/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-5	3	1	L
28/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
15/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
08/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIFK vs HJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIFK win (63%). Probabilities: AIFK 63%, draw 21%, HJS 16%.

How many goals are expected in AIFK vs HJS?

The model expects 3.12 goals (AIFK 2.13 · HJS 1), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AIFK vs HJS?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.