Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: HJS vs P-Iirot

Team pages: HJS · P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

HJS1.81

P-Iirot1.43

1X2

46% 23% 30%

HJS Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

HJS 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLLLL

P-Iirot 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

HJS 3–3 P-Iirot (6 last)

P-Iirot3-0HJS
HJS2-0P-Iirot
P-Iirot0-1HJS
P-Iirot3-0HJS
HJS0-1P-Iirot
HJS1-0P-Iirot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1465 · P-Iirot 1528

	HJS	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	46%	25%	30%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours P-Iirot (rating 1465 vs 1528).
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJS	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.5	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:16 +11’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 3–0–3 P-Iirot

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	3-0 HT 1-0	HJS
25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	2-0 HT 0-0	P-Iirot
13/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	0-1 HT 0-0	HJS
25/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	3-0 HT 1-0	HJS
24/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	0-1 HT 0-1	P-Iirot
25/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	1-0 HT 0-0	P-Iirot

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	22	15	5	2	63	21	50
2	AIFK	22	14	4	4	43	21	46
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	22	11	6	5	64	33	39
4	EPS	22	11	3	8	43	31	36
5	P-Iirot	22	10	4	8	37	33	34
6	HJS	22	9	4	9	34	41	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HJS	P-Iirot
AIFK	1-3 L	2-1 W
FC Honka	1-5 L	1-1 D
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-5 L	1-6 L
EPS	1-4 L	3-0 W
GrIFK	0-1 L	2-0 W
EBK	5-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: P-Iirot (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS

WWWWLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	1	4	L
06/09	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	1-5	6	4	L
02/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-5	3	1	L
28/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
15/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
08/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W

P-Iirot

DWWWLLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
07/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-6	5	4	L
02/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
28/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS win (46%). Probabilities: HJS 46%, draw 23%, P-Iirot 30%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.24 goals (HJS 1.81 · P-Iirot 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.