Prediction: GrIFK vs MuSa

Team pages: GrIFK · MuSa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
GrIFK2.34
MuSa1.18
1X2
63% 20% 18%
GrIFK Draw MuSa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
GrIFK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLWWDL
MuSa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLWLD
Head-to-head
GrIFK 2–2–2 MuSa (6 last)
  • MuSa3-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK1-1MuSa
  • GrIFK3-2MuSa
  • GrIFK1-2MuSa
  • MuSa2-2GrIFK
  • GrIFK3-0MuSa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK 1478 · MuSa 1420
GrIFKDrawMuSa
Our model62%20%17%
Market63%19%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK (rating 1478 vs 1420).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrIFKMuSa
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 20.9 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.21.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.63.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK 222 MuSa

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa3-1
HT 1-0
GrIFK
02/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-1
HT 1-0
MuSa
16/06/24
Finland Cup
GrIFK3-2
HT 2-1
MuSa
11/09/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-2
HT 1-0
MuSa
22/06/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa2-2
HT 0-1
GrIFK
05/08/18
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK3-0
HT 3-0
MuSa

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 20749 253425
2 EBK 204511 294517
3 MuSa 203413 206013
4 NJS 202117 16557

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrIFKMuSa
NJS 1-2 L 0-4 L
EBK 1-1 D 1-1 D
Tampereen Ilves 2 3-2 W 0-7 L
HJS 1-0 W 1-2 L
FC Honka 1-2 L 1-7 L
AIFK 0-1 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK

LLLLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 54 L
04/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 66 D
22/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 3-2 25 W
15/08 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 56 W
08/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 46 L
31/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 510 W
25/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-2 16 L
17/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 67 L
14/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 2-6 16 L
09/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 74 L

MuSa

LWLLLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 85 D
04/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 62 L
22/08 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 26 W
15/08 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 L
08/08 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 04 L
04/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-7 41 L
25/07 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 03 L
18/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 1-2 74 L
09/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 34 W
04/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-7 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK vs MuSa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK win (63%). Probabilities: GrIFK 63%, draw 20%, MuSa 18%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK vs MuSa?

The model expects 3.53 goals (GrIFK 2.34 · MuSa 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK vs MuSa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.