Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: EPS vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Team pages: EPS · Tampereen Ilves 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

EPS1.6

Tampereen Ilves 22.24

1X2

27% 21% 52%

EPS Draw Tampereen Ilves 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

EPS 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Tampereen Ilves 2 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

EPS 3–1–2 Tampereen Ilves 2 (6 last)

Tampereen Ilves 24-2EPS
EPS1-1Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 20-1EPS
EPS4-1Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 22-1EPS
EPS4-1Tampereen Ilves 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1549 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1555

	EPS	Draw	Tampereen Ilves 2
Our model	27%	22%	51%
Market	27%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours EPS: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EPS	Tampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.30

X4.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	1.91 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +32’	2.90	4.00	1.91
02:19 +8’	3.30▲	4.20▲	1.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 3–1–2 Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	4-2 HT 3-1	EPS
25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	1-1 HT 1-1	Tampereen Ilves 2
20/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	0-1 HT 0-0	EPS
27/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	4-1 HT 3-0	Tampereen Ilves 2
03/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 0-1	EPS
30/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	4-1 HT 2-1	Tampereen Ilves 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	22	15	5	2	63	21	50
2	AIFK	22	14	4	4	43	21	46
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	22	11	6	5	64	33	39
4	EPS	22	11	3	8	43	31	36
5	P-Iirot	22	10	4	8	37	33	34
6	HJS	22	9	4	9	34	41	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EPS	Tampereen Ilves 2
P-Iirot	0-3 L	6-1 W
AIFK	0-0 D	0-1 L
FC Honka	0-1 L	2-0 W
HJS	4-1 W	5-1 W
MuSa	2-0 W	7-0 W
NJS	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	10	5	L
06/09	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
02/09	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
28/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
22/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	3-2	5	8	W
08/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W

Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
07/09	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-1	6	4	W
02/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	5-1	3	1	W
28/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
22/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
15/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	13	1	W
08/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampereen Ilves 2 win (52%). Probabilities: EPS 27%, draw 21%, Tampereen Ilves 2 52%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 3.84 goals (EPS 1.6 · Tampereen Ilves 2 2.24), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.