Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: FC Honka vs AIFK

Team pages: FC Honka · AIFK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

FC Honka2.06

AIFK1.1

1X2

59% 22% 19%

FC Honka Draw AIFK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Honka 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDWWL

AIFK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWLDW

Head-to-head

FC Honka 1–1–0 AIFK (2 last)

AIFK0-1FC Honka
FC Honka1-1AIFK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka 1573 · AIFK 1542

	FC Honka	Draw	AIFK
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Honka	AIFK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.8	3.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:23 +3’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 1–1–0 AIFK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	AIFK	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Honka
18/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	1-1 HT 0-1	AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	22	15	5	2	63	21	50
2	AIFK	22	14	4	4	43	21	46
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	22	11	6	5	64	33	39
4	EPS	22	11	3	8	43	31	36
5	P-Iirot	22	10	4	8	37	33	34
6	HJS	22	9	4	9	34	41	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Honka	AIFK
Tampereen Ilves 2	0-2 L	1-0 W
HJS	5-1 W	3-1 W
EPS	1-0 W	0-0 D
P-Iirot	1-1 D	1-2 L
NJS	7-0 W	2-1 W
GrIFK	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka

DWLWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
06/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	5-1	3	4	W
02/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D

AIFK

WWLWLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
06/09	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
02/09	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
28/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
22/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	2-3	2	8	L
08/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
24/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs AIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (59%). Probabilities: FC Honka 59%, draw 22%, AIFK 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs AIFK?

The model expects 3.16 goals (FC Honka 2.06 · AIFK 1.1), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka vs AIFK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.