Prediction: EBK vs NJS

Team pages: EBK · NJS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
EBK2.57
NJS1.33
1X2
64% 18% 18%
EBK Draw NJS
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
EBK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLWLDD
NJS 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLWW
Head-to-head
EBK 2–0 NJS (2 last)
  • NJS1-3EBK
  • EBK3-1NJS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK 1469 · NJS 1420
EBKDrawNJS
Our model64%19%17%
Market64%18%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (rating 1469 vs 1420).
  • H2H favours EBK: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBKNJS
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.41 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.71.1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.83 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 200 NJS

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
NJS1-3
HT 0-0
EBK
03/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EBK3-1
HT 2-1
NJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 20749 253425
2 EBK 204511 294517
3 MuSa 203413 206013
4 NJS 202117 16557

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBKNJS
MuSa 1-1 D 4-0 W
GrIFK 1-1 D 2-1 W
FC Honka 0-2 L 0-7 L
EPS 1-5 L 1-2 L
P-Iirot 1-1 D 0-1 L
AIFK 1-6 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NJS (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK

LWDLLLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 45 D
04/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 46 D
22/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 15 L
15/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 W
08/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-5 45 L
31/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 1010 L
24/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-5 50 L
18/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
11/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 3-1 134 W
02/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-6 34 L

NJS

LLLLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 64 W
04/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 72 W
22/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 16 L
15/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 11 L
08/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-3 0-7 00 L
01/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 03 L
24/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 25 L
18/07 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 32 L
11/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-3 44 L
03/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK vs NJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EBK win (64%). Probabilities: EBK 64%, draw 18%, NJS 18%.

How many goals are expected in EBK vs NJS?

The model expects 3.9 goals (EBK 2.57 · NJS 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK vs NJS?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.